Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 220713
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
313 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

...Cooler Air on the Way...

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will be passing through the area today. Along and ahead
of this cold front, a few showers and storms will be possible this
morning before coming to an end this afternoon. Severe weather is
not expected. Clearing will take place this afternoon, and cooler
air will come in on gusty Northwest winds.

Most of the rest of this week and the weekend will be mostly dry and
cooler. There is a chance of a few showers on Thursday as a strong
upper wave drops down through the area.

MIZ037>039-043>045-222015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
313 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1400, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-64 percent near Lake Michigan and 51-56
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 17
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL increasing to 5700-6200 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000 (excellent) increasing to 1600 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.24 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2600-3100 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-62 percent near Lake Michigan and 47-52
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 4 percent
                    drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6900-7400 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-222015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
313 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) until 1900, then
                    sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms until 1400.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5800-6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100 (excellent) increasing to 1700 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.12-0.24 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-500 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7100-7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-222015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
313 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) until 1900, then
                    sunny (15-25 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 0900, then a chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms until 1400.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 14 to 19 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.13-0.29 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2400-2900 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6700-7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-222015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
313 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 1700, then
                    mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 0900, then a chance
                    of showers until 1500. chance of thunderstorms
                    after 0900 until 1600.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.17-0.27 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good) decreasing to 0 (poor) overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7100-7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300-1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-222015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
313 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 1700, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 1400, then a chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900 (excellent) increasing to 1400 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.19-0.30 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) decreasing to 0 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6900-7400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1400-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. North winds
5 to 6 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. North winds
5 to 6 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds 5 to 9 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds 5 to
6 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds 5 to 6 mph
shifting to the northeast in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Scattered showers in the afternoon. Highs in
the mid 70s.

$$



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