Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 271930
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
330 PM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...More Rain Coming Beginning Late Wednesday...

.DISCUSSION...
Quiet and comfortable weather will continue tonight into the
first half of Wednesday. Shower and thunderstorm chances will
increase Wednesday afternoon, and will be likely Wednesday night
as a low pressure system approaches the area. Some of the storms
could be a bit strong with hail, winds, and heavy rain all being
threats. Storms will continue into Thursday morning before
diminishing some as a front pushes south of the area.

Showers and storms will return late Thursday night and more so
Friday as another wave of low pressure moves up over the area.
Cooler weather will move in over the weekend with small chances of
rain possible.

MIZ037>039-043>045-280815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
330 PM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1100-1600 ft AGL.
Mixing height.......Inland, 3700-4200 ft AGL decreasing to 200-700 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-500 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1300, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1100 until 1700, then rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-55 percent near Lake Michigan and 42-47
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged near Lake Michigan and 4 percent
                    wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4200-4700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.39 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.35-0.79 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........69-74 percent near Lake Michigan and 58-63
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 16
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3800-4300 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-280815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
330 PM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) decreasing to 0 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1400, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1400 until 1700, then rain
                    showers likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........44 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.26 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.30-0.65 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-280815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
330 PM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL decreasing to 300-800 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1400, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to around
                    28 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4000-4500 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.21 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to around
                    26 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.23-0.58 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 25
                    mph until midday.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3700-4200 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.25 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-280815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
330 PM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) until 1500, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to around
                    26 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph increasing to south
                    around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to around
                    26 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.12-0.48 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to
                    around 26 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-280815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
330 PM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good) decreasing to 0 (poor) overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) until 1800, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to around
                    28 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph increasing to south
                    around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 0200, then
                    showers and thunderstorms likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.32 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to
                    around 26 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1400-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.28 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the
upper 70s. Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
in the evening. Lows around 60. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 7 to
12 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds 6 to
11 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers until midday, then a
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the
upper 70s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s.

$$



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