Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 230735
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
335 AM EDT Tue May 23 2017

...Periods of showers...

.DISCUSSION...A weak surface low will track into Lower Michigan
today brining occasional rain showers and an isolated thunderstorm.
A more significant rainfall event seems likely later Wednesday into
early Thursday as developing system over Northern Kentucky moves in
to Lower Michigan by Thursday morning. Expect a soaking rain from
this system Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

MIZ037>039-043>045-232015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
335 AM EDT Tue May 23 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 1400. chance of thunderstorms. rain
                    showers likely after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6600-7100 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.35 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 0200, then rain showers likely.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 6 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    1900-2400 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.14-0.24 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1400-1900 ft AGL increasing
                    to 4000-4500 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Mixing height....... inland, 3900-4400 ft AGL increasing to
                    6700-7200 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent) increasing to 1200 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.14 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-232015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
335 AM EDT Tue May 23 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 1100. chance of thunderstorms. rain
                    showers likely after 1100.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6600-7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.13-0.41 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Isolated thunderstorms
                    until 2300. rain showers likely until 0200,
                    then a chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 6 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL decreasing to 900-1400 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.14-0.33 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5400-5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.14 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-232015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
335 AM EDT Tue May 23 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200. chance of thunderstorms.
                    rain showers likely after 1200.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........63-68 percent near Lake Michigan and 51-56
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......27 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 15
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5300-5800 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.34 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms until 2300. rain showers likely
                    until 0200, then a chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.13-0.26 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered rain showers
                    until 1400, then numerous rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6500-7000 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.44 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-232015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
335 AM EDT Tue May 23 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7200-7700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.19-0.42 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms until 2300. rain showers likely
                    until 0500, then a chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.20 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL increasing to 7000-7500 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent) increasing to 1200 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.29 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-232015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
335 AM EDT Tue May 23 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1300. chance of thunderstorms.
                    rain showers likely after 1300.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......8100-8600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.36 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms until 2300. chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL decreasing to 400-900 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered rain showers
                    until 1400, then numerous rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6800-7300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.22-0.52 in.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Numerous showers in the evening, then
scattered showers overnight. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds
6 to 11 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s. North winds 6 to 11 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 5 to
9 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest winds
5 to 7 mph shifting to the southeast overnight.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds 5 to
9 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms until
midday, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the
lower 70s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 70.

$$

wdm



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