Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 220800
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
400 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013

...WET THROUGH MID DAY THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...MANY AREAS WILL SEE AN INCH OR MORE OF RAIN FROM
NOW THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE LOWERING FIRE RISK.


MIZ037>039-043>045-222015-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
400 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 1200. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4000-4500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.38-0.65 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3000-3500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.53-0.75 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 1400...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 38-43
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 30
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3200-3700 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.26 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-222015-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
400 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1300...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1600...THEN
                    WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200 (FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.54-0.76 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0200. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 20 MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.56-0.70 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1600...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN SUNNY
                    (20-30 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200-4700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-1100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.22-0.29 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-222015-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
400 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 1600. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1600.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3500-4000 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.41-0.72 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1700 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    2400-2900 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.63 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1800...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3700-4200 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.17 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-222015-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
400 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.56-0.87 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0200. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-400 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.30-0.67 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1800...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-4300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.31 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-222015-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
400 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.63-0.82 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0200. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.31 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST OVERNIGHT. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST OVERNIGHT. LOWS AROUND
40. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
8 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.



$$
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