Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
167
FNUS53 KGRR 100755
FWFGRR
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
355 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024
...Mostly to Partly Sunny Today and Showers Arrive Tonight...
.DISCUSSION...
A good amount of sunshine in the morning will give way to
patches of cumulus clouds developing around mid day, in
tandem with increasing mixing heights. Relatively more
afternoon sunshine is expected near Lake Michigan but with
somewhat cooler temperatures and lesser mixing. Winds will
be very light this morning but develop a light breeze by
afternoon. Rain showers will hold off until late tonight.
MIZ037>039-043>045-102030-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
355 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....60-65.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent near Lake Michigan and 36-41
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......1 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 7
percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
6500-7000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....810-1010 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 11 PM, then
mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 10 PM until 12 AM, then rain
showers likely until 4 AM, then a chance of
rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....42-47.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1700-2200
ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....180-230 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.31 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 5 PM, then
mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....56-61.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-62 percent near Lake Michigan and 49-54
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......4 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 14
percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3900-4400 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....760-1080 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.
$$
MIZ040-046-102030-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
355 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 64.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......7300-7800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....820-970 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 AM, then
cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers after 2 AM
until 6 AM, then a chance of rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....42-47.
24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL decreasing to 900-1400 ft AGL
overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....190-240 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.20 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....810-1080 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-102030-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
355 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....60-65.
24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-54 percent near Lake Michigan and 41-46
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......20 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 31
percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
6500-7000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....750-810 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 AM, then
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers.
Slight chance of thunderstorms after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the west
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....120-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.19 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....57-62.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 14 to 19 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
4200-4700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....970-1360 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-102030-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
355 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) until 2 PM, then partly
sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 64.
24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......7300-7800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....910-1070 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2 AM, then
cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers after 2 AM
until 6 AM, then a chance of rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....140-200 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.23 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1080-1180 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-102030-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
355 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent) until 2 PM, then mostly
sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 64.
24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
24 hr trend......36 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7300-7800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200-1280 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 AM, then
mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers and
a slight chance of thunderstorms after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-220 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.18 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 14 to 19 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300-1480 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Warmer. Partly cloudy. Showers likely in the
evening, then a chance of showers overnight. Lows in the lower 50s.
Southwest winds 14 to 19 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
70s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. North winds 7 to 12 mph shifting to the northeast 6 to
11 mph overnight.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Northeast winds
9 to 14 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 50.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s.
$$