Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 271544
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP GULCH...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
944 AM MDT WED AUG 27 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON AUGUST 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY IN THE WAKE OF
THE UPPER TROUGH THAT WILL HAVE MOVED OVER EASTERN COLORADO BY
MIDDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS SHOULD END FAIRLY QUICKLY THURSDAY
EVENING AFTER SUNSET WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. HIGH PRESSURE
UNDER FAIRLY FLAT RIDGING ALOFT WILL BRING DRY WEATHER ON FRIDAY...
BUT WEAKER TRANSPORT WINDS MAY LIMIT THE BETTER SMOKE DISPERSAL
TO A SHORTER AFTERNOON WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE 3 MPH UNTIL 0900 THEN SOUTHWEST 5-7 MPH
                    SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER 1300. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR BECOMING GOOD
                    BY 1300.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....VARIABLE 3 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST 5 MPH AFTER 1100 AND INCREASING TO
                    NORTH 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1900...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    3 MPH BY 2200. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR BY 2100.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1900...THEN 2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900 FT AGL BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH BECOMING DOWNVALLEY 3 MPH BY
                    2200.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE 1-3 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 5 MPH BY 1300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR BECOMING GOOD
                    BY 1500.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....VARIABLE 3 MPH IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...COLLARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140828.SHEEP.01/GJT


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