Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS West Gulf RFC

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AGUS74 KFWR 251556
1056 AM CDT SUN JUN 25 2017

                    VALID JUNE 25 THROUGH JUNE 30


                   ...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

A cold front pushed southward through Texas resulting in rainfall
and cooler temperatures across most of the state over the past 24
to 48 hours. Rainfall amounts of over 6 inches were reported with
the heaviest reports of between 5.0 and 7.0 inches in far east and
southeast Texas.

With the availability of deep gulf moisture and slow moving
storms, southeast Texas continues to have the potential for high
rainfall accumulations and as a result, localized flash flooding
over the next couple of days.

In addition, an upper disturbance will reinforce the chances for
fairly widespread rain over eastern New Mexico into the Texas
panhandle region today and tomorrow. This pattern could be very
active with embedded strong storms with heavy downpours and
localized flooding.

The heaviest of the widespread rainfall has ended even with rain
chances and localized flood potential remaining in the forecast
over the next couple of days.

                    ...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...
For Today into Monday morning, Mean Areal Precipitation (MAP)
amounts of between 0.50 and 1.00 inch are forecast for of New
Mexico and southern Colorado. MAP amounts of between 0.50 and
1.00 inch are forecast over south southeast Texas along the
Gulf Coast.

For Monday into Tuesday morning, MAP amounts of up to 0.50
of an inch are forecast for eastern New Mexico into the Texas
Panhandle. MAP amounts of up to 0.50 of an inch are forecast
over south southeast Texas along the Gulf Coast.

For Tuesday into Wednesday morning, no significant MAP amounts are
forecast for the WGRFC area.

For Wednesday into Friday morning, MAP amounts of up to 0.50
of an inch are forecast over south southeast Texas along the
Gulf Coast.

The latest U.S. Drought Monitor for Texas shows the area considered
to be abnormally dry is around 27%, and roughly 5% of Texas is
experiencing moderate drought conditions. In New Mexico, 25% of
the state is experiencing abnormally dry conditions, with about 7%
of the state in the moderate drought category. The driest topsoil
moisture conditions are over west Texas into the panhandle, and soils
are rather moist over east Texas where it is raining now.

                     ...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...
...Trinity Basin...
...Minor Flooding...
The Trinity River at Dallas is cresting in minor flood due to
rainfall on Friday into Saturday upstream.

...Sabine Basin...
...Minor Flooding...
The Sabine River at Deweyville (DWYT2) is
forecast to rise into minor flood levels today from releases out of
Toledo Bend Reservoir.

...Neches Basin...
...Higher Flow Non-Flood Forecasts...
Village Creek near Kountze (KOUT2) higher than normal (action stage)
criteria levels due to rainfall from Cindy.

...Remainder of WGRFC Basins...
Rainfall today along Gulf Coast not expected to generate any
flooding but will be monitored closely as area is saturated from
yesterdays rainfall.

The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts.  This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.

For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:

The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:

The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:

National Precipitation Analysis:

The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:

The US Drought Assessment:

The latest on Reservoir Information for Texas:



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