Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center

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AGUS73 KMSR 031452
HMDMSR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
950 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

...PRECIPITATION...

DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVED ACROSS
NORTHERN WISCONSIN AND LOWER MICHIGAN DROPPING GENERALLY 0.5 TO
1.5 INCHES OF RAIN BUT OVER 3 INCHES IN SOME AREAS LIKE GREEN BAY
WISCONSIN AND AROUND SAGINAW BAY IN MICHIGAN.

LAST NIGHT SOME STORMS MOVED ALONG THE IOWA/MISSOURI BORDER AND
LEFT UP TO 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN.

DURING THE NEXT WEEK RAIN IS FORECAST ACROSS OUR ENTIRE SERVICE
AREA.  DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WE ARE ONLY EXPECTING UP TO A
QUARTER INCH ACROSS SOUTHERN IOWA.. NORTHERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS.  HOWEVER.. DURING THE REST OF THE COMING WEEK WE ARE
EXPECTING UP TO A TOTAL OF 2-3 INCHES OF RAIN OVER SOUTHERN NORTH
DAKOTA.. SOUTHERN MINNESOTA.. IOWA.. MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS.

...HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS...

THERE IS CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING WITHIN THE NCRFC AREA.
MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING CONTINUES ON THE ILLINOIS RIVER IN
ILLINOIS. BEARDSTOWN IS THE ONLY TWO LOCATION STILL ABOVE
MODERATE AS THE RIVER IS SLOWLY RECEDING.  BEARDSTOWN SHOULD FALL
BELOW MODERATE TOMORROW BARRING A HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT TODAY.

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR INDICATES A FEW ISOLATED AREAS OF
ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS IN THE ARROWHEAD OF MINNESOTA... THE
GREEN BAY AREA OF WISCONSIN... AND NORTHERN PARTS OF MICHAGN.
GREEN BAY IS NEARLY FIVE INCHES BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION FOR
THE YEAR.  SEE HTTP://WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU FOR MORE
INFORMATION. THE RAINFALL RECEIVED YESTERDAY IN THESE AREAS MAY
ALLEVIATE THE NEAR TERM DRYNESS.

STREAMFLOW FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR IS GENERALY ABOVE
NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THE NCRFC SERVICE AREA. BELOW NORMAL STREAMFLOW
IS OBSERVED ON TRIBUTARIES TO LAKE SUPERIOR IN MN...WI AND MI.
AUGUST IS TYPICALLY A MONTH WHERE RIVER FLOODING HAS A LOW
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE IN THE NCRFC AREA.  WITH STREAMS RUNNING
ABOVE NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THE AREA...RIVER FLOODING COULD EASILY
BE INITIATED WITH ANY CONCENTRATED CONVECTIVE EVENT.

FOR ADDITIONAL AND MORE IN-DEPTH INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER
FORECASTS...PRECIPITATION AND ALL HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION
IN THE NCRFC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...PLEASE REFER TO THE NCRFC
WEB PAGE AT:     HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NCRFC



EMERGENCY CALL BACK LIST: JDT ... SDB ... BAC

IF NO RESPONSE FROM THIS LIST... CALL THE DOH...SCH OR HIC.


$$

...BAC/SDB...





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