Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center
AGUS73 KMSR 271836
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1235 PM CST FRI NOV 27 2015
Precipitation of some form fell over a vast majority of NCRFC in
the past 24 hours. North Dakota was the only state that did not
have any. Most of the precipitation fell as rain... but it came
down in a wintery mix for much of the area. About a 100 mile wide
swath of 1 to 2 inches of snow stretch northeast from south
central Nebraska up through through the Upper Peninsula of
Michigan (weather.gov/crh/snowfall). Heavy rain fell across
Missouri... southeast Iowa... northwest Illinois... southern
Wisconsin.. and western Michigan. This broad-brush dropped about
0.5 to 2.5 inches of rain over these areas... with the Missouri
and Iowa border seeing highest accumulations.
This same system is ongoing and expected to continue the next few
days. The Weather Prediction Center is forecasting that the system
will slowly move southeast out of the NCRFC area. Missouri...
Illinois... and Lower Michigan are the areas mostly impacted in the
NCRFC coverage area. Parts of eastern Missouri and southern Illinois
could see an additional 1 to 3 inches of rainfall the next three
days. While the rainfall over Michigan is expected to move out in the
next 24 hours and remain under 0.5 inches.
Minor flooding is forecast at many locations in
Southeastern Iowa: Along the lower reaches of the Des Moines..
Skunk.. Iowa and Wapsipinicon Rivers. Moderate flooding is
occuring along the English River which is a tributary to the
Eastern Missouri: The tributaries to the Mississippi River are
rising and minor flooding is forecast for the North Fabius
Southern Wiscosnin and Northern Illinois: Portions of the Rock
and Illinois River Basins.
Most of the USGS gages in the areas described above are indicating
flow levels that are in the highest decile for this time of year.
See waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/rt for details.
For additional and more in-depth information concerning river
forecasts...precipitation and all hydrometeorological information
in the NCRFC area of responsibility...please refer to the NCRFC
web page at: http://www.weather.gov/ncrfc
Emergency Call Back List: RJW... JMP... BAC... JDT
If no response from this list... call the DOH...SCH or HIC.