Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS48 KWNS 220826
SWOD48
SPC AC 220824

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0224 AM CST Mon Jan 22 2018

Valid 251200Z - 301200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Most recent medium-range guidance progs a significant northward
shift and increase in forward speed of the shortwave trough expected
to move into the Plains this weekend versus previous runs. This
northward shift not only results in less interaction with potential
return flow from the Gulf but it also lowers forecast confidence
given the run-to-run inconsistencies. Given this current guidance,
severe potential appears low through next weekend.

..Mosier.. 01/22/2018


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