National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FNUS71 KALY 271249
FWSALY

Spot Forecast for GMFL Old Country Rd C&D...USFS
National Weather Service Albany NY
849 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Primarily dry conditions to begin the weekend with high
pressure remaining just within reach as it slides further south and
east into the Atlantic. Clouds will be on the increase today as a
frontal system approaches from the west, with scattered, light
showers becoming possible later tonight. With a frontal boundary
nearby, skies will remain cloudy with additional light showers
possible Sunday into Monday. Additional periods of showers and
possibly some embedded rumbles of thunder will be possible at
different times during the week along with a trend to warmer
temperatures.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Dewpoint............24 increasing to 29 early in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (60800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9   16  22  28  30  32  34  43  52
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............43  48  53  57  60  61  61  60  59
Dewpoint........30  31  31  31  30  29  29  28  28
RH..............60  51  43  37  32  29  29  29  30
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..3   5   6   6   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.8   9   9   9   9   12  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 3.0 4.2 4.9 5.3 5.5 5.5 5.3 4.7
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   9   10  12  13  14  14
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..11  20  29  39  48  55  60  61  56
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  GD  FR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the evening. Rain showers
                    likely overnight, then chance of rain showers
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Dewpoint............31 increasing to 40.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (41800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3400 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.15 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........61  69  76  84  91  90  89  88  87  87  87  83
Weather cov.....        CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  30  40  40  50  60  60  50  50  40  40
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............57  55  53  50  48  46  45  45  44  44  43  43
Dewpoint........29  33  34  34  35  37  38  39  40  41  41  41
RH..............34  43  48  54  60  71  76  79  86  89  93  93
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   7   7   7   7   7   6   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT wind gust.13  12  10  9   10  14  8   7   7   6   6   5
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 2.0 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.14  13  12  12  12  12  10  9   8   8   8   8
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..42  24  9   5   5   7   6   5   4   4   3   3
Ventrate Cat....FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning and early afternoon,
                    then slight chance of rain showers late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........72 percent.
Dewpoint............42 increasing to 56.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph early
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (24600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.18 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........80  76  74  71  69  67  66  65  63  65  66  68
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).40  40  30  30  30  30  30  30  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............43  44  46  49  53  56  59  62  63  64  65  65
Dewpoint........41  42  44  46  48  50  51  53  55  56  56  56
RH..............93  93  93  89  83  80  75  72  75  75  73  73
20 FT wind dir..S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   2   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   8   8
20 FT wind gust.5   5   6   6   8   9   10  10  10  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.0 1.9
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.8   7   7   7   8   9   9   9   10  12  14  15
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   3   4   5   8   10  12  14  16  21  24  25
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...KL
Requested by...Ryan Hughes
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412546.1/ALY
.DELDT 04/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL robert.a.goulding@usda.gov,eric.hughes@usda.gov