Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Versions:
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392 FNUS71 KALY 070942 FWSALY Spot Forecast for APB CATHEDRAL RX...Albany Pine Bush National Weather Service Albany NY 542 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on May 07. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... High pressure will bring mostly sunny skies and warm temperatures for today. A storm system will bring some showers and thunderstorms late tonight into Wednesday, with unsettled weather and cooler temperatures expected for Thursday and Friday. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................No Tstms after 0800. Max temperature.....Around 76. Min humidity........28 percent. Dewpoint............39 increasing to 43 early in the morning. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3300 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (55800 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............2. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 9 15 21 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............M M 1 M M 1 M M 1 M M 1 Temp............48 52 56 60 63 67 69 71 73 75 76 76 Dewpoint........38 40 43 44 44 44 45 44 43 42 41 41 RH..............68 63 62 55 50 43 42 38 34 31 28 28 20 FT wind dir..W NW NW NW N N NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT wind spd..1 2 3 5 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 20 FT wind gust. 3 6 6 7 7 8 9 14 16 17 17 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.6 0.9 1.6 2.5 3.4 4.4 5.2 5.9 6.3 6.4 5.8 Transp wind dir.NW NW N N N N NW NW NW NW NW W Transp wind spd.8 8 8 8 7 7 7 8 9 10 10 10 LVORI...........3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 Haines index....4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..3 4 7 10 14 20 29 39 47 53 56 52 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain showers after 3 am. Rain showers likely and isolated thunderstorms early in the morning. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. LAL.................No Tstms after 2000 until 0300. 1-8 strikes after 0500. Min temperature.....Around 52. Max humidity........90 percent. Dewpoint............44 increasing to 47 in the late evening and overnight. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the morning. Mixing height.......100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast 3 to 5 mph after 3 am. Smoke dispersal.....Good (37500 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (0 knot-ft) late in the night. LVORI...............4. Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.12 inches. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........22 24 25 32 38 44 46 47 49 57 65 73 Weather cov..... CHC CHC LKY Weather type.... RW RW RW Tstm cov........ ISO Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 30 40 60 LAL.............M M 1 M M 1 M M 1 M M 2 Temp............73 70 67 64 61 59 57 56 55 54 53 52 Dewpoint........42 43 45 46 47 47 47 46 47 46 47 48 RH..............33 38 45 52 60 64 69 69 74 74 80 86 20 FT wind dir..NW W W W NW NW NW NW NW N N N 20 FT wind spd..9 7 5 5 5 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 20 FT wind gust.16 9 7 7 7 7 6 5 3 3 3 Mix hgt (kft)...4.2 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Transp wind dir.W NW NW NW NW NW N N NE NE SE S Transp wind spd.9 8 7 6 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 5 LVORI...........2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 6 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..38 19 3 0 0 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers in the morning. Scattered thunderstorms through the day. Rain showers likely in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......90 percent. LAL.................9-15 strikes after 0800 until 0900. 1-8 strikes after 1100 until 1200. 9-15 strikes after 1400 until 1500. 1-8 strikes after 1700. Max temperature.....Around 73. Min humidity........55 percent. Dewpoint............51 increasing to 56 in the late morning and afternoon. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the west around 12 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 7 to 13 mph shifting to the west 10 to 18 mph in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3600 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (55900 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............3. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.35 inches. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........80 87 94 91 89 86 80 74 68 65 62 58 Weather cov.....LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT ISO Chc of pcpn (%).70 80 90 80 70 70 60 50 40 40 40 40 LAL.............M M 3 M M 2 M M 3 M M 2 Temp............53 54 55 57 59 61 64 67 69 71 72 73 Dewpoint........49 50 52 53 55 56 58 58 58 57 57 56 RH..............86 86 90 86 87 84 81 73 68 61 59 55 20 FT wind dir..NE E SE SE E E SE SE S S SW W 20 FT wind spd..5 7 9 9 8 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 20 FT wind gust.7 10 13 13 12 10 12 13 15 15 16 16 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.4 2.2 3.1 3.5 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S SW SW W W W W Transp wind spd.7 9 12 13 13 13 12 10 10 13 16 18 LVORI...........5 5 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 1 1 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 6 9 10 11 12 10 9 13 29 47 56 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR $$ Forecaster...KL Requested by...Tyler Briggs Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413330.0/ALY .DELDT 05/07/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL tbriggs@albanypinebush.org