Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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000
FXUS64 KBMX 050540
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1140 PM CST WED MAR 4 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

FRONT PASSING THROUGH THE INTERSTATE 59 CORRIDOR AS I WRITE WITH
WINDS SHIFTED TO NORTHERLY AT TCL/BHM/GAD AND POINTS NORTHWARD
WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION BEHIND IT. LATEST HI-RES MODELS STILL
PRETTY CONSISTENT WITH THE TIMING TO GO BELOW FREEZING AFTER 3 AM
ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWEST WITH THE SAME GENERAL EXTENT SO CURRENTLY
NO CHANGES TO TIMING OR AREA FOR OUR WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS.
COLDEST TEMPERATURE RIGHT NOW IS HALEYVILLE AT 38/38 WITH LIGHT
RAIN. THIS IS ONE OF OUR MOST CLIMATOLOGICALLY COOLER SPOTS AS
WELL. WHILE REPORTS FROM HAMILTON JUST TO THE WEST ARE AROUND 41
DEGREES. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THOUGH FOR ANY CHANGES TO OUR
EXPECTED TIMES...BUT AT THIS TIME THINGS ARE PROGRESSING AS
PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT.

08/MK


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

COLD FRONT PUSHING THROUGH EET AT THIS TIME WITH NORTH WINDS
BEHIND THE FRONT. PERIODS OF RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT AND INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. SOME FREEZING RAIN CANNOT BE
RULED OUT FOR BHM AND TCL WHERE THE FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE
FLUCTUATING BETWEEN 30 AND 33 DEGREES BETWEEN 18Z TO 21Z. CEILINGS
WILL DROP INTO IFR WITH VERY SLOW IMPROVEMENT LATE IN THE DAY
TOMORROW.

88

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST THURSDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES: BIBB...CALHOUN...CHEROKEE...ETOWAH...
GREENE...HALE...JEFFERSON...PICKENS...SHELBY...ST. CLAIR...
SUMTER...TUSCALOOSA.

WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST THURSDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES: BLOUNT...FAYETTE...LAMAR...MARION...WALKER...
WINSTON.

&&

$$








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