Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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000
FXUS64 KBMX 301949
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
249 PM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER WAVE BRINGING SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO NORTHERN
MISSISSIPPI AND NORTHWESTERN ALABAMA IS SLOWLY LIFTING NORTHEAST-
WARD THIS AFTERNOON. GENERAL LULL IN THE ACTIVITY THIS EVENING AS
WE LOSE DAYTIME HEATING AND BEFORE A BROADER UPPER TROUGH MOVES
INTO THE REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS BOTH DAYS WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES MOST LIKELY
IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE 80S AND LOWS IN THE 60S.

FOR TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...A GOOD BIT OF UNCERTAINTY DUE TO A
PROBABLE CUTOFF LOW IN THE VICINITY OF THE DEEP SOUTH. RUN TO RUN
CONSISTENCY HAS NOT BEEN GOOD IN THE PLACEMENT OF THIS FEATURE BUT
AS OF TODAY...WE ARE BACK ON THE FAVORABLE SIDE FOR SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. DUE TO THE INCONSISTENCY...WILL NOT
FORECAST HIGHER THAN CHANCE POPS BUT THE POSSIBILITY OF A RAINY
WEEK IS THERE. HIGHS IN THE 80S AND LOWS IN THE 60S.

88

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH THE BEST COVERAGE IN THE WEST...AFFECTING TCL...BHM
AND EET. ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH WITH SUNSET. AS ANOTHER IMPULSES
APPROACHES THE AREA TONIGHT...MIGHT NEED TO INCLUDE CONVECTIVE
WORDING LATE TONIGHT.

14


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     64  82  64  81  62 /  20  70  50  60  20
ANNISTON    66  83  66  82  64 /  20  60  50  60  30
BIRMINGHAM  68  84  66  82  64 /  20  70  50  60  20
TUSCALOOSA  68  85  67  84  65 /  30  70  40  60  20
CALERA      67  84  67  82  65 /  20  60  50  60  20
AUBURN      68  85  68  83  66 /  10  40  50  50  30
MONTGOMERY  68  88  68  85  67 /  10  40  40  50  30
TROY        67  88  67  86  67 /  10  40  50  40  30

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$


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