Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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FXUS64 KCRP 100931
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
431 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2014

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...SCATTERED CONVECTION
CURRENTLY MOVING NORTH OVER THE SOUTHERN COASTAL WATERS WILL PUSH
INTO THE REGION THIS MORNING. MODELS INDICATE TUTT LOW THAT HAS
BEEN MEANDERING OVER SOUTH TEXAS MOVING WEST OF THE REGION. THE
500MB LOW CENTERED OVER NORTHEAST MEXICO WILL SEND A DISTURBANCE NORTH
INTO SOUTH TEXAS...AS WELL AS CONTINUE IN USHERING DEEP MOISTURE INTO
THE REGION THIS MORNING. EXPECT SCATTERED CONVECTION TO PUSH IN FROM THE
SOUTH TODAY. ALTHOUGH MOISTURE DECREASES ACROSS THE REGION BY
FRIDAY...STILL MAY SEE SOME DIURNAL/SEA BREEZE CONVECTION
DEVELOP...AND WILL CARRY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR FRIDAY.
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER...OWING TO INCREASED
MOISTURE...CLOUD COVERAGE...AND RAIN OVER THE AREA. SOUTHEAST FLOW
WILL BE LIGHT TO MODERATE DURING THE AFTERNOONS...AND BECOMING
LIGHT OVERNIGHT/EARLY MORNING.

&&

.LONG-TERM (FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL
BE MOVING NORTHWEST AWAY FROM THE REGION AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD. THERE MAY BE SOME LINGERING CONVECTION OVER THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS EARLY FRIDAY EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING/SHIFTING TO THE NW.
CHANCES FOR PRECIP WILL THEN DECREASE FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS OVER SOUTH TEXAS. WARM
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE DURING THIS PERIOD WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
IN THE LOWER 100S OVER THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS TO LOWER/MID 90S OVER
THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS. TOWARDS THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD... A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. WHILE
BETTER CHANCES OF CONVECTION WILL OCCUR NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE
AREA ON WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD APPROACH THE
NORTHEAST SECTIONS. WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY FOR NOW THOUGH.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    92  76  95  76  93  /  40  10  20  10  10
VICTORIA          93  74  95  74  94  /  30  10  20  10  10
LAREDO            94  78  97  76  99  /  40  20  20  20  10
ALICE             93  75  96  74  96  /  40  10  20  10  10
ROCKPORT          91  79  90  79  88  /  30  20  20  10  10
COTULLA           96  76  98  74  99  /  30  20  20  20  10
KINGSVILLE        93  77  96  75  96  /  40  10  20  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       91  80  91  80  88  /  40  10  20  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

LK/84...SHORT TERM
TB/78...LONG TERM





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