Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, MS

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FXUS64 KJAN 010233
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
933 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...MADE SOME SMALL ADJUSTMENTS TO THE TEMPS. MOST
LOCATIONS WERE STILL IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S AND DEWPOINTS WERE ON
THE RISE. RAISED LOWS ABOUT 2 DEGREES IN MOST LOCATIONS. MID TO UPPER
60S SEEMED GOOD. LOCATIONS ALONG THE RIVER MAY STAY IN THE LOWER 70S
OVERNIGHT. NOT MUCH RAIN WAS REACHING THE GROUND...BUT THE CLOUDS AND
LIGHT WINDS SHOULD KEEP THINGS WARMER THAN THE PAST FEW NIGHTS. WITH
LITTLE INSTABILITY ACROSS THE AREA...FEEL COMFORTABLE KEEPING THUNDER
OUT OF THE FORECAST THROUGH TONIGHT. ALSO TWEAKED THE POPS SLIGHTLY.
KEPT VALUES GENERALLY THE SAME JUST EXPANDED THE CHANCE AREA INTO THE
NORTHEAST AND KEPT ALL AREAS WEST OF THE RIVER LIKELY. WHILE THE RUC
SHOWS SEVERAL WAVES MOVIING ACROSS THE REGION AT 500 MB...THE BEST
CONVECTION WAS HEADED TOWARDS THE TEXAS COAST AND WIILL LIKELY REMAIN
SOUTH OF THE AREA...AT LEAST FOR TONIGHT. OTHERWISE..THE FORECAST WAS
GOOD.

&&

.AVIATION...AN ABUNDANCE OF MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS IS
SPREADING EAST ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS TONIGHT AHEAD OF A SLOW-MOVING
DISTURBANCE. LIGHT SHRA ACTIVITY HAS BEEN ON THE DECREASE ALONG AND
WEST OF THE MS RIVER...BUT EXPECT REGENERATION OF SHOWERS LATE
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING WITH EFFECTS MAINLY FELT AT
KGLH/KGWO/KHKS/KJAN. THE CLOUDINESS SHOULD HELP TO LIMIT IFR/LIFR
FOG PRODUCTION MOST PLACES...WITH AREAS OF MVFR CATEGORY VSBY UNTIL
ABOUT 14Z. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. /EC/


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       69  85  69  88 /  28  38  28  49
MERIDIAN      67  86  67  89 /  18  27  26  55
VICKSBURG     70  84  67  88 /  47  44  32  42
HATTIESBURG   70  89  70  90 /  17  33  29  53
NATCHEZ       70  85  69  89 /  43  44  29  44
GREENVILLE    69  82  69  86 /  43  38  26  35
GREENWOOD     69  83  67  87 /  31  30  27  41

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

7/EC




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