Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 131021
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
421 AM CST Wed Dec 13 2017

.SHORT TERM...Today Through Thursday Night
High pressure remains over Arkansas and the dry conditions will
remain over the state through Thursday. A cold front will move
through the state this afternoon and evening as low pressure moves
through the midwest. This will bring increased southwest winds to
the state and expect the highest winds in the east. A Lake Wind
Advisory has been issued for the eastern and parts of central
counties this afternoon. Fire Danger will be elevated this
afternoon. Lowest humidity values will be in the west but winds
are not expected to be as strong here. Models may not have a good
handle on how dry our atmosphere is...so this will need to be
monitored closely. Highs today will be in the 60s mainly and in
the 40s and 50s Thursday.

&&

.LONG TERM...Friday Through Tuesday
The extended period will start off dry but cool on Friday. Air mass
over Arkansas will bone dry, with dewpoints in the 20s. This will
keep the fire danger elevated. Fortunately, there will be some
relief this weekend.

A trough will dig through the Rockies and Plains Saturday/Sunday,
and will ride a northwest wind flow aloft. As the trough nears,
models show a southwest system ejecting toward us ahead of the
trough, with some moisture increase. Granted, this will not be
tropical by any means, with dewpoints getting into the 40s to lower
50s over the southeast half of the state. Clouds will increase, and
there are good chances of showers in the forecast.

Rainfall Saturday into Sunday could be in the half inch to inch
range from Little Rock to the south/east. Lesser amounts are
expected farther north/west.

While this event will not be a widespread heavy rain maker, at least
there will be some liquid. Drought conditions continue to slowly
worsen following one of the driest falls on record.

After this weekend, and following the passage of the system, it will
be back to a mostly dry forecast. It will not cool off behind the
system. If anything, readings will be a little above average early
next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     61  33  44  29 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         65  37  54  31 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       60  31  41  28 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    64  36  50  30 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  63  36  48  30 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     62  38  51  31 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      65  36  50  30 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  61  32  42  28 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        60  34  44  29 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     63  37  49  31 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   63  34  46  30 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         61  34  46  29 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      62  35  48  30 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Lake Wind Advisory from noon today to 6 PM CST this evening FOR
Arkansas-Desha-Independence-Jackson-Jefferson-Lincoln-Lonoke-
Monroe-Prairie-White-Woodruff.

&&

$$

Short Term...51 / Long Term...46



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