Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 230800
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
300 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 213 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

INITIAL CONCERN WILL BE WITH DEVELOPMENT OF FOG ACROSS THE AREA
THIS MORNING.

DENSE FOG ADVISORY ISSUED EARLIER MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED SOUTH
AND EAST AS LOW CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THE AREA THROUGH 12Z.

OTHERWISE...PERIOD LOOKS TO BE DRY AND QUITE MILD AS UPPER RIDGE
BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE NATION IN ADVANCE OF ANOTHER
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. DAYTIME HIGHS ARE
EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL INTO THE WEEKEND.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 213 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

PATTERN BEGINS TO TURN COOLER BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A STRONGER
COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION. SOME CHANCE OF RAIN WITH THE
FRONT MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY INTO TUESDAY DEPENDING
ON TIMING OF MODELS. EURO AND GFS ACTUALLY LOOK TO BE IN BETTER
AGREEMENT THAN PREVIOUS RUN FOR MON-TUE...BUT DIVERGE AGAIN AFTER
THAT WITH GFS MAINTAINING TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS WHILE EURO
BECOMES ZONAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1134 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

AREA OF RAIN CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST OF THE TAF SITES THIS MORNING.
AS VFR TO MVFR CEILINGS SLIDE EAST...AN EXPANDING AREA OF FOG WILL
SPREAD EAST AS WELL. WILL BE DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE EXACTLY HOW
LOW TO GO IN REGARDS TO CIGS/VISIBILITIES AT OUR TAF
SITES...HOWEVER LIGHT WIND AND AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AFTER
EVENING RAIN WILL WARRANT SOME MENTION. WILL LEAVE TO AMENDMENTS IF
CONDITIONS DROP BELOW IFR OR BECOME LIFR.


&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR NEZ011-012-
     016>018-030>032-042.

IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...KERN



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