Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 011932
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
232 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 230 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

LITTLE CHANGE TO OVERALL FORECAST TRENDS DURING THE PERIOD WITH
SEVERAL CHANCES FOR MORE RAIN AND A RETURN TO WARMER
TEMPERATURES.

NEXT WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT STILL EXPECTED TO
BRING SOME CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO NORTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA.
ANOTHER CHANCE COMES ON WEDNESDAY AS RETURN FLOW DEVELOPS OVER
THE REGION AHEAD OF LEE TROUGH AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY AS NEXT COLD
FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA. MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES MOVE INTO THE
AREA ON WEDNESDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT WITH READINGS
CLIMBING INTO THE LOWER 90S ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE CWA.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 230 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO WORK SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF
THE FRONT THROUGH FRIDAY. COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS FOLLOW FOR
THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST. LOWER
FORECAST CONFIDENCE FROM LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS MODELS DIFFER
ON STRENGTH AND TIMING OF TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
WITH GFS FASTER IN DRAWING MOISTURE BACK NORTH ACROSS THE PLAINS
REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1205 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

A PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS COULD BEGIN TAF PERIOD AT KOMA BUT LOWER
CLOUDS SHOULD MIX OUT THROUGH AFTN. ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTN WEST THROUGH
NORTHWEST OF NERN NEBR. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY COULD MAKE IT INTO
NERN NEBR THROUGH THIS EVENING AND COULD CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS. WITH
18Z TAF A TEMPO SHOWER GROUP WAS MENTIONED AT KOFK TO ACCOUNT FOR
THE POSSIBILITY AND THUNDER MAY HAVE TO BE INCLUDED LATER IF
TRENDS DICTATE. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS BULK OF ACTIVITY WOULD
REMAIN NW OF KOMA AND KLNK. LIGHT WINDS TOWARD TUE MORNING COULD
ALLOW AREAS OF FOG TO DEVELOP AND A TEMPO 3-4SM GROUP WAS
MENTIONED AT ALL SITES FOR A FEW HOURS.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...CHERMOK


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