Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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552
FXUS64 KOUN 260441
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1041 PM CST Sat Feb 25 2017

.DISCUSSION...
06z TAFs.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR is expected overnight and through most of the day Sunday,
with ceilings lowering (likely to MVFR) late Sunday afternoon and
especially Sunday evening across the central and southwest
portions of the area. A weak cold front will move into the area
Sunday afternoon and slowly move south through the afternoon and
evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 610 PM CST Sat Feb 25 2017/

DISCUSSION...
00Z TAFs.

AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected to prevail. Clouds will increase
across the area through the forecast period. Some ceilings of
040-050 will be possible tomorrow afternoon, but with VFR
conditions continuing, did not add extra lines to most TAFs for
those. A cold front will move into northwest Oklahoma Sunday and
move through at least KGAG and KWWR shifting the winds to
northeasterly.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 104 PM CST Sat Feb 25 2017/

DISCUSSION...
A strong warming trend begins today with afternoon temperatures
reaching the middle 70s and lower 80s by Tuesday. Before then, two
small-scale waves in westerly flow are expected to generate small
rain chances late Sunday/early Monday and again late Tuesday/early
Wednesday. Lower level moisture is expected to be sufficient
mainly in areas east of I-35 where a few thunderstorms may occur.
More significant could be the heat, low humidity, and gusty
southwest winds on Tuesday which will elevate fire weather
conditions. This will be quickly followed by a cold front Tuesday
night which will bring a more mild airmass for the rest of the
week. The upper flow pattern will change to weak northwesterly and
dry with a few minor frontal passages the rest of the week. After
Tuesday precipitation chances remain low, and after midweek, a
moderate warming trend will continue into next weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  33  58  42  66 /   0   0  20  20
Hobart OK         33  58  40  68 /   0   0  10  20
Wichita Falls TX  35  64  46  73 /   0   0  20  10
Gage OK           29  55  32  68 /   0   0  10   0
Ponca City OK     30  54  36  62 /   0  10  10  20
Durant OK         35  59  48  71 /   0  10  50  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$



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