Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 281935
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
235 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...
This afternoon is very similar to yesterday, although instability
is a bit lower, along with shower/storm coverage. Expect most of
this activity to again come to an end after sunset, but a repeat
of last night across the northwest appears possible within deeper
moisture fetch. A MCV lifting NE out of AMA may also have an
impact on persistence through tonight.

At least widely scattered showers and thunderstorms will remain
in the forecast for most of the week with plenty of moisture in
place and the upper low to our west only slowly moving eastward.
The lowest chances will remain across the eastern zones as the mid
to upper ridge axis tries to nudge in. However, by Wed thru
Thursday the aforementioned low will elongate and slide east
southeastward along with a weak cold front. Cloud cover and rain
chances will increase with these features so expect very
reasonable temps for the 1st of September (around 3-5 degrees
below avg).

By next weekend, the low level flow will quickly return from the
south as a long wave trough impacts the western CONUS and the
center of the mid to upper ridge axis moves very near eastern/ne
OK. Temps will likely climb back to or above avg as a result, and
rain chances will decrease for most of the region. A mid level moisture
axis should, however, in place over the western zones so kept SCHC
PoPs across this area on the western fringe of the ridge within SW
flow aloft.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  71  90  70  90 /  20  40  30  40
Hobart OK         70  88  68  89 /  30  50  30  40
Wichita Falls TX  71  92  70  91 /  20  30  20  30
Gage OK           66  85  66  86 /  50  40  40  50
Ponca City OK     70  90  69  89 /  20  40  20  40
Durant OK         72  94  72  93 /  10  20  10  30

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

06/03


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