Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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702
FXUS64 KOUN 110507
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1107 PM CST WED FEB 10 2016

.DISCUSSION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO CAUSE A WIND SHIFT AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EXPECTED THU AFTN/EVENING AS
SFC HIGH INFLUENCES THE AREA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 656 PM CST WED FEB 10 2016/

UPDATE...
ALLOWED THE RED FLAG WARNING TO EXPIRE.

DISCUSSION...
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TONIGHT.

SURFACE WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW 20 MPH ACROSS THE AREA...THUS
HAVE ALLOWED THE RED FLAG WARNING TO EXPIRE. SURFACE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL INCREASE AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL DECREASE
THROUGH THE NIGHT.

LATEST SATELLITE DEPICTED A FEW HOT SPOTS/LIKELY WILDFIRES WEST
OF TRUSCOTT TEXAS...BETWEEN BURNEYVILLE AND WILSON OKLAHOMA...AND
SOUTH OF WARDVILLE OKLAHOMA. WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE MORE
FAVORABLE FOR THESE FIRES TO BE CONTROLLED IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA AS WELL TONIGHT. LOWS
WILL BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
SKIES WILL REMAIN CLEAR OR MOSTLY CLEAR.

PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.

MBS

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 528 PM CST WED FEB 10 2016/

DISCUSSION...
0Z TAF DISCUSSION.

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS. A WIND SHIFT LINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA TONIGHT SHIFTING WINDS TOWARDS THE NORTH.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 438 PM CST WED FEB 10 2016/

DISCUSSION...
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL STILL BE THE ISSUE INTO THE EARLY
EVENING BEFORE WINDS DIMINISH AND HUMIDITY RECOVERS. A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT BRINGING NORTH WINDS TO THE
AREA. SO ANY FIRES THAT ARE STILL BURNING TONIGHT MAY HAVE TO DEAL
WITH THE WIND SHIFT. COOLER WEATHER IS EXPECTED TOMORROW ALTHOUGH
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR OR UPPER CLIMO. THE PRECIPITATION
CHANCES WILL BE THIS WEEKEND AS A TROUGH MOVED FROM THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES SOUTHEAST INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. PRECIP CHANCES WILL
INCREASE ALONG WITH THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WITH THE HIGHEST
PRECIP CHANCES IN THE SOUTHEAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  35  56  33  64 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         36  60  33  65 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  38  64  34  68 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           29  61  30  61 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     30  50  30  57 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         42  63  37  65 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

17/25/25



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