Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS61 KPBZ 301618
AFDPBZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1218 PM EDT THU JUL 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AND
LOWER HUMIDITY THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
WITH 1215PM UPDATE...MINIMAL CHANGES WERE MADE TO HOURLY DEWPOINT
AND SKY GRIDS AS DRIER AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE REGION. A
FEW SHOWERS WILL LAST ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO IN GARRETT AND TUCKER
COUNTIES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVERNIGHT DROPPING
TEMPERATURES A BIT BELOW AVERAGE UNDER CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE NEAR SEASONAL VALUES WITH LOWER
HUMIDITY FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING A FAST MOVING SHORTWAVE WITH A
REINFORCING WEAK COLD FRONT SATURDAY WITH CHANCE POPS FOR SHOWERS
AND STORMS. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL APPROACH LATER SUNDAY BUT LEFT
OUT POPS FOR THE DAYLIGHT HOURS AS TIMING UNCERTAIN. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN NEAR THE SEASONAL AVERAGES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
BROAD EASTERN CONUS UPPER TROUGHING IS PROGGED TO PERSIST THROUGH
THE PERIOD. SURFACE RIDGING SHOULD ALLOW FOR DRY WEATHER AND
SEASONAL TEMPS MUCH OF THE TIME...THOUGH A COUPLE OF SHORTWAVES
ADVANCING THROUGH THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH COULD PROVIDE RAIN CHANCES
MAINLY MONDAY NIGHT...AND AGAIN TOWARD MID WEEK. MADE DOWNWARD
ADJUSTMENTS TO WPC TEMPS AND POPS TO NUDGE THE ENSEMBLE BASED
FORECAST SOLUTION CLOSER TO THE LATEST OPERATIONAL MODELS.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN VFR CONDITIONS WITH SCT DIURNAL
CU THROUGH FRIDAY.

OUTLOOK...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
RESTRICTIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITH A SATURDAY COLD FRONT

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

$$



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