Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS61 KPBZ 050114
AFDPBZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
914 PM EDT FRI SEP 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES IN THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE LATE EVE UPDATE FEATURED POPS ADJUSTMENTS AS THUNDERSTORMS
HAVE DIMINISHED LEAVING POCKETS OF RESIDUAL SHOWERS. THESE SHOULD
ALSO FADE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS STABILIZATION CONTINUES.

ANOTHER WARM DAY IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY WITH LESS CHANCE OF
CONVECTION GIVEN INCREASED SUBSIDENCE UNDER STRENGTHENING HIGH
PRESSURE. EXPECT HIGHS FROM 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE THE AVERAGES
ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
MID/UPPER RIDGE IS PROJECTED TO CONTINUE AMPLIFYING ON
SUNDAY...THUS SUPPRESSING CONVECTION POTENTIAL FOR THE START OF
THE NEW WEEK. NO REAL CHANGE IS INDICATED TO THE WARM AIRMASS.

TEMPERATURES WERE BASED ON A BLEND OF 12Z BIAS-CORRECTED MOSGUIDE
AND PERSISTENCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
INCREASING PRECIP CHANCES AND RELIEF FROM THE WARMTH ARE PROJECTED
TO COME WITH A MID WEEK COLD FRONT.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF FOG OVERNIGHT WITH PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE AND LITTLE MIXING. IFR FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE IN LOCATIONS
THAT RECEIVED RAINFALL THIS EVENING.

OUTLOOK...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
THE CHANCE FOR GENERAL RESTRICTIONS WILL INCREASE WITH THE APPROACH
OF A COLD FRONT ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

$$
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