Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 202104
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
304 PM CST THU NOV 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A LITTLE SHOWER ACTIVITY IS COOLING DOWN THE AFTERNOON READINGS
WITH SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS JUST ON THE FRINGE AND MUCH OF NORTHWEST
LA SEEING LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS MOVE ON THE NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

OVERALL...WE SEE LOTS OF 60S AND A FEW LOW 70S SOUTH WITH STILL A
FEW 50S NORTH OF THAT WEAK BACK DOOR WHERE NORTHEAST WINDS ARE
LIGHT. THE MODIFIED GULF AIR CONTINUES NORTHWARD ON S/SW WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS OVER NE TX. THE WATER VAPOR SOME
UPPER DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER TEXAS ON APPROACH AND SHOULD BOOST THE
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT...SOME ISOLATED THUNDER IS POSSIBLE
BUT NOTHING EVEN STRONG EXPECTED.

THE OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY IS WARMER...BUT LATER...SO MAYBE A WASH
CONSIDERING THE ENERGY IN THE NEGATIVE TILT. AS SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS QUICKLY DEVELOP MID TO LATE AFTERNOON OVER DEEP
EAST TEXAS COVERAGE WILL QUICKLY INCREASE WITH GOOD VERTICAL STORM
STRUCTURE. THIS IS WHERE SPC HAS A SLIGHT RISK FOR ISOLATED
TORNADOES...DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL. THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY
CONDENSE INTO A LARGE MCS DURING THE EVENING WITH A GOOD DEAL OF
ENERGY ALOFT. DAMAGING WINDS REMAIN A THREAT ALONG WITH SOME HAIL
AS THE SYSTEM RACES EASTWARD DURING THE OVERNIGHT.

SUNDAY AND MONDAY...WE CONTINUE WITH THE WARMER TREND UNTIL THE
COLD FRONT IN THE PATTERN SWEEPS IN WITH PERHAPS A FEW TUESDAY
SHOWERS...BUT MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED AND WE ARE DRY AS FOR NOW.
OTHERWISE...THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL BE SEASONAL AND EVEN TRENDING
COOLER IF YOU LIKE THE EURO LATE WEEK. /24/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  54  67  53  71  60 /  50  50  40  60  90
MLU  48  67  49  72  59 /  40  40  20  30  90
DEQ  49  61  52  68  55 /  50  60  60  70  90
TXK  52  63  52  68  58 /  50  60  50  60  90
ELD  47  61  50  69  57 /  50  50  40  50  90
TYR  57  68  56  69  57 /  50  60  50  80  90
GGG  56  68  55  70  58 /  50  60  50  70  90
LFK  57  70  56  71  59 /  50  60  30  70  90

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

24





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