Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 031534 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1034 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...
MID/HIGH LVL CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE FROM NW
TO SE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF TODAY. FCST LOOKS ON TRACK.
AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPS SHOULD BE NEAR OR JUST ABOVE SUNDAY`S
VALUES...WHICH WILL PLACE MOST AREAS VERY CLOSE TO 100 DEGREES F.
HEAT INDICES SHOULD BE JUST BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA TODAY.

NO UPDATE IS PLANNED AT THIS TIME. /09/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 650 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 03/12Z TAF PERIOD.
AREAS OF CIRRUS WILL CONTINUE TO SPILL SE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
MORNING/AFTERNOON...WITH AN ELEVATED SCT CU FIELD ALSO EXPECTED TO
REDEVELOP BY EARLY AFTERNOON OVER PORTIONS OF N LA/SCNTRL
AR/EXTREME E TX. CIRRUS MAY REMAIN AFTER SUNSET...WITH A LIGHT SSW
RETURN FLOW POSSIBLY YIELDING BRIEF MVFR CIGS AFTER 12Z TUESDAY
OVER DEEP E TX. LT/VRB WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME ESE AROUND
5KTS BY MIDDAY. WINDS WILL DECOUPLE AFTER 00Z AND BECOME LT SSW
LATE. /15/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 450 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

DISCUSSION...
INFRARED SATELLITE SHOWS CIRRUS STREAMING IN ACROSS THE RED RIVER
VALLEY FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION OVER THE TX/OK PANHANDLE REGION.
THIS HAS LIMITED THE TEMPERATURE FALL OVER MUCH OF OUR REGION THIS
MORNING WITH UPPER 60S TO LOWER AND MID 70S OBSERVED AS OF 09Z.
SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EWRD TODAY AND SOUTH WINDS
WILL RETURN...STARTING AN UPWARD TREND IN DEW POINTS THAT WILL
CARRY THROUGH THE WEEK AND LIKELY RESULT IN THE RETURN OF HEAT
ADVISORIES BY MID TO LATE WEEK AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RUN IN
THE UPPER 90S TO LOWER TRIPLE DIGITS FOR HIGHS WHILE ONLY FALLING
INTO THE MID AND UPPER 70S OVERNIGHT.

RAIN CHANCES WILL BE MAINLY LIMITED TO DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION
WITH THE SEA BREEZE ACROSS OUR FAR SRN ZONES. IN ADDITION...A WEAK
FRONTAL BNDRY TO OUR NORTH ALONG WITH A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES IN
NW FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE CHANCE FOR SHWRS/TSTMS ACROSS
OUR NRN AND ERN SECTIONS FROM MID TO LATE WEEK AS THE UPPER RIDGE
REMAINS ANCHORED OVER THE DESERT SW. FOR NOW...POPS ARE NO MORE
THAN LOW CHANCE DUE TO LACK IN OVERALL CONFIDENCE WITH THE UPPER
RIDGE EXPECTED TO BUILD BACK INTO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND AND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ISOLD CONVECTION STILL CANNOT BE RULED OUT
ALONG THE ERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE BUT EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO
TREND HIGHER BACK TOWARD TRIPLE DIGIT TERRITORY AREA WIDE THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV 100  76  99  77 /   0   0  10  10
MLU  99  74  98  76 /   0   0  10  10
DEQ  98  71  97  74 /   0   0  10  20
TXK  99  74  98  77 /   0   0  10  10
ELD  99  73  98  75 /   0   0  10  10
TYR  99  75  99  77 /   0   0  10  10
GGG  99  75  99  77 /   0   0  10  10
LFK  99  74  97  75 /   0   0  20  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09



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