Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 292005
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
305 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.DISCUSSION...
TODAY HAS SHAPED UP TO BE ANOTHER UNSEASONABLY COOL JULY
DAY...WITH NW FLOW CONTINUING TO DOMINATE THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN.
WV IMAGERY SHOWS OUR EXPECTED MID-LATE WEEK DISTURBANCE CHURNING
OVER THE UT/CO ROCKIES. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL BEGIN TO BRING
SHWRS/TSTMS INTO OUR NRN AREAS BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AS IT
INTERACTS WITH A RETREATING WARM FRONT. MODELS HAVE COME INTO
SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT AS TO THE LOCATION OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL
AXIS...ALL SETTLING IN ON ERN OK/WRN AR THROUGH THURSDAY.
ATTM...WIDESPREAD 1-3 INCHES APPEARS REASONABLE...WITH SOME ISOLD
HIGHER AMOUNTS.

RAIN IS FCST TO SHIFT SWD INTO FRIDAY...AS THE FRONT BEGINS TO
PUSH SWD. TEMPS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK WILL RUN WELL
BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS FOR LATE JULY/EARLY AUGUST...AS THE TROF
AXIS LINGERS AND RAIN/CLOUD COVER KEEP DAYTIME HEATING AT BAY.

AS WE MOVE INTO THE WEEKEND...THE TROF AXIS WILL VERY SLOWLY BEGIN
TO SHIFT EWD...WHICH WILL KEEP THE FRONT STALLED ALONG OUR SRN
FRINGES. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE MAINTAINED ACROSS THESE AREAS
ACCORDINGLY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FCST PD. /12/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1120 AM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014/

AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING IN COOLER...
DRIER AND STABLE AIRMASS BEHIND COLD FRONT CURRENTLY NEAR THE
GULF OF MEXICO COAST. /VIII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  70  87  69  82  68 /  10  20  50  40  40
MLU  65  86  66  81  67 /  10  20  40  40  40
DEQ  65  77  64  76  64 /  10  50  80  60  20
TXK  67  82  66  77  65 /  10  50  70  60  30
ELD  64  84  65  77  64 /  10  30  50  60  30
TYR  72  88  72  82  69 /  10  20  50  40  30
GGG  71  88  71  82  69 /  10  20  50  40  30
LFK  71  93  73  89  72 /  10  20  20  40  40

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

12




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