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000
FXUS64 KSJT 281124
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
524 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/
Expect VFR conditions at the terminals the next 24 hours. The
winds will be southwest with gusts to 20 knots this afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 347 AM CST Wed Jan 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

Expect very warm temperatures across West Central Texas today,
feeling more like early April than late January. Highs will be in the
upper 70s to lower 80s. The record high for Abilene is 82 and San
Angelo is 85, both set in 1970. These records will probably stand,
however due to low level southwest flow(downslope component), will
have to keep an eye on possible record highs especially at
Abilene.

For tonight, low level southerly flow will keep temperatures on the
mild side. Lows will be mainly in the 40s. Also, a cold front will
move south across the area after midnight, to near a San Angelo to
Brownwood line by 12Z Thursday.

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LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Tuesday)

A cold front will push through the forecast area on Thursday,
bringing an end to the very unseasonably warm temperatures of the
last several days. Highs on Thursday will range from the lower
60s over the Big Country to near 70 along the Interstate 10
corridor. An upper trough over the lower California coast on
Thursday will close off over the northern Baja by Friday morning.
The upper low will then shear away from the upper flow and dig
down the Baja peninsula into the weekend. Meanwhile, the resultant
upper trough will move east over the southern plains into he
coming weekend. In any event, the forecast area will come under a
southwest flow aloft with plenty of Pacific moisture flowing into the
state of Texas. Our best chance for reaping the benefits of this
moisture flow will begin late Friday and continue at least through
the day on Sunday. Models are still showing widespread 3/4 into
to 1 1/4 totals through the weekend. The coldest temperature with
this system through the weekend will be in the upper 30 s to the
lower 40s, therefore, we will not have to worry about freezing
precipitation Highs Friday through Sunday will be in the mid 40s
to the lower 50s.

15

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  80  48  61  38  49 /   0   0   0   5  30
San Angelo  82  47  66  40  50 /   0   0   0   5  30
Junction  80  47  71  42  54 /   0   0   0   5  20

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

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