Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
FXUS64 KSJT 232355
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
655 PM CDT SUN OCT 23 2016
VFR conditions will continue across the terminals this evening.
Stratus is expected to spread north across the southern terminals
towards daybreak, with ceilings primarily MVFR. KSJT should be on
the northern fringe of the stratus and will only include a TEMPO
MVFR group at this time. KSOA may also see ceilings drop into the
IFR range for a bit Monday morning and have included a TEMPO IFR
group this forecast cycle. VFR conditions return for Monday
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 347 PM CDT SUN OCT 23 2016/
(Tonight and Monday)
Scattered light showers associated with an upper shortwave, east
of a Coleman to Junction line at 330 PM, will move east of the
region this afternoon. Upper level high pressure otherwise will
build in, with dry conditions tonight and Monday. Southerly winds
will continue to advect low level moisture into the region
tonight, with stratus developing south of the I-20 corridor
towards sunrise. Went closer to warmer GFS MOS low temperatures in
the lower 60s tonight with low cloud development. It will be
slightly warmer Monday as stratus breaks up midday. High in the
lower to mid 80s expected.
Main challenge this week will be extent of cloudiness and how
that could impact afternoon high temperatures.
Cloudiness should return Monday night into Tuesday. A large surface
high pressure system across the eastern U.S. will pump low level
moisture into the area. GFS/ECMWF continue to prog a fast moving
shortwave trough across North Texas and the Central Plains Tuesday
afternoon. An associated surface trough should push most of the
low level moisture east Tuesday night and Wednesday. Afternoon
highs on Tuesday should be in the lower 80s but warm into the mid
80s on Wednesday.
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Models prog a ridge of high pressure building into West Central
Texas, Wednesday through next Sunday. This pattern could cause
temperatures to rise into the mid and possibly upper 80s towards
the end of this upcoming week. For now, expect morning cloudiness
giving way to partly cloudy afternoons with spring like high
temperatures in the mid 80s.
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 62 81 62 80 / 0 0 5 5
San Angelo 62 83 61 82 / 5 5 5 5
Junction 62 81 61 80 / 5 10 5 5
Brownwood 61 81 60 80 / 5 0 0 5
Sweetwater 60 80 62 79 / 0 0 0 5
Ozona 61 80 61 79 / 5 5 5 5