Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 282034
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
334 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Saturday)

Appears the quiet conditions will continue across West Central Texas
for tonight and Saturday. Upper level ridge has shifted to the west,
with north and northwest flow aloft across the area. Saw an area of
showers and storms develop across the South Plains and Panhandle
last night and make a run towards the northern Big Country this
morning. Similar situation may set up tonight, and with that in mind
have slipped in some slight chance PoPs into the northern Big
Country across Haskell and Throckmorton Counties.

Otherwise, not as hot on Saturday with 850mb temperatures dropping
slightly. Still, guidance looked a little too cool and stayed at or
a degree or two above guidance for highs. Kept Saturday dry for now,
but with slightly better low level moisture returning to the area
and with the possibility of a weak disturbance developing in the
northwest flow aloft, can not rule out a few stray storms. Not going
to mention for now and see if the pieces can all fall into place.

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Friday)

The latest model guidance further strengthens the upper ridge
over the forecast area through the end of next week, and positions
an upper low further east of the area than previously forecasted.
Will therefore maintain a dry forecast through the period with
afternoon highs in the mid to upper 90s, a few degrees warmer than
seasonal norms. Morning lows will generally be in the lower to mid
70s, near seasonal norms.

15

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  73  98  72  97 /   5  10   5   5
San Angelo  71  98  71  96 /   0   5   5   5
Junction  69  96  70  94 /   0   0   5   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$


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