Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS28 KWNS 222045
FWDD38

DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0344 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

VALID 241200Z - 301200Z

THROUGH MUCH OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD...MID-LEVEL RIDGING WILL SHIFT
WESTWARD TOWARDS THE GREAT BASIN...WITH HEIGHTS BUILDING SLOWLY
ACROSS THE PAC NORTHWEST. AS A RESULT...NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL
ESTABLISH ACROSS THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS TOWARDS THE END OF NEXT
WEEK.

IN RESPONSE TO THE DEVELOPING RIDGE...HOT/DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD
BUILD ACROSS PARTS OF THE GREAT BASIN...PAC NORTHWEST...AND ADJACENT
AREAS THROUGH THE WEEK. LOCALIZED TERRAIN-DRIVEN WINDS COULD LEAD TO
SPOTTY ELEVATED CONCERNS...AS FUELS CONTINUE TO DRY.
HOWEVER...RELATIVELY LIGHT LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW IS EXPECTED...KEEPING
THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONCERNS LOW.

THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK...ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE RIDGE
WILL PROBABLY REMAIN ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND PORTIONS
OF THE NORTHWEST. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SOME BREAKDOWN OF THE RIDGE
THEREAFTER...WHICH WOULD LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN FIRE-WEATHER
CONCERNS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST CONUS BEYOND THE CURRENT
EXTENDED PERIOD.

..PICCA/NAUSLAR.. 07/22/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

$$



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