Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS22 KWNS 240813
FWDDY2

DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0313 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF ERN/CNTRL/SRN NM...FAR
W TX...FAR SERN AZ...

...SYNOPSIS...
A PERSISTENT ZONE OF ENHANCED MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL EXTEND FROM THE
SRN EXTENT OF A TROUGH OVER PARTS OF THE WRN STATES...TO THE N SIDE
OF A RIDGE OVER PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THE POSITION OF A
N/S-EXTENDING DRYLINE WILL OSCILLATE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SRN HIGH
PLAINS AND VICINITY.

...PORTIONS OF SERN AZ...ERN/CNTRL/SRN NM...FAR W TX...WRN OK
PANHANDLE...
TO THE W OF THE AFOREMENTIONED DRYLINE...DEEP VERTICAL MIXING AMID
THE ENHANCED MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL SUPPORT AN ENHANCED FIRE-WEATHER
RISK. SWLY TO WSWLY SFC WINDS OF 20-25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL
COMBINE WITH RH AROUND 5-12 PERCENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF ERN/CNTRL/SRN
NM AND FAR W TX INTO EXTREME SERN AZ WHERE DRY FUELS EXIST IN
SUPPORT OF A CRITICAL AREA. ELEVATED TO BORDERLINE-CRITICAL
FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE SURROUNDING ELEVATED
AREA...WHERE CONFIDENCE IN CRITICALLY STRONG WINDS OCCURRING ON ANY
MORE THAN A BRIEF/SPOTTY BASIS IS LIMITED IN THE ABSENCE OF STRONGER
LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW DESPITE ANTICIPATED LOW RH. WHILE ELEVATED TO
BORDERLINE-CRITICAL METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO EXTEND
E OF THE HIGHLIGHTED AREAS INTO PARTS OF THE TX/OK PANHANDLES...TX S
PLAINS...AND VICINITY...UNFAVORABLE FUEL CONDITIONS FOR FIRE SPREAD
OWING TO FUEL GREEN-UP PRECLUDES FIRE-WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS IN THESE
AREAS.

..COHEN.. 05/24/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

$$


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