Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Missoula, MT

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FNUS75 KMSO 032247
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR PILGRIM 18
National Weather Service Missoula MT
447 PM MDT TUE MAY 3 2016

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 MDT on May 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure will weaken Wednesday through Thursday over the burn
site. Chance of wetting rain will steadily increase over time.
Thursday afternoon will be the most active thunderstorm period,
with some erratic winds developing in the presence of storms that
develop. Even if the thunderstorms do not form, a wind shift from
southerly to westerly will occur late Thursday afternoon.

.WEDNESDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
  Chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the
  afternoon.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...10 percent.
* Max Temperature.....65-70.
* Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 4-7 mph.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
  in the evening. Chance of rain showers.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...20 percent.
* Min Temperature.....52-57.
* Max Humidity........52-57 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........South 3-6 mph.

.THURSDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
  morning...then rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in
  the afternoon.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...40 percent.
* Max Temperature.....60-65.
* Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........South around 5 mph becoming west 6-9 mph
  late in the afternoon. Erratic wind gusts to 15 mph in the
  presence of any thunderstorm.

$$
FORECASTER...Zumpfe

REQUESTED BY...Matt Martens
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160504.PILGR.01/MSO



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