Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS West Gulf RFC

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AGUS74 KFWR 201603
HMDFWR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX
1103 AM CDT WED SEP 20 2017

               VALID SEPTEMBER 20 THROUGH SEPTEMBER 25

...HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEK...

                   ...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

A ridge of high pressure will continue to dominate most of the
WGRFC region for the next several days, meaning very dry and hot
conditions for the most part. Later on in the week, moisture
associated with the remnants of Tropical Storm Norma, is expected
to interact with an upper level disturbance and cold front. This
will likely bring additional precipitation to the western portions
of the WGRFC region the end of the forecast period.

The tropics continue to remain very active.  Hurricane Maria
is now a Category 4 storm on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale
and continues to move towards the northwest at 12 mph. At this
time, this system is not expected to impact any portion of
the WGRFC region.

                    ...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...
For Today into Thursday morning, no significant Mean Areal
Precipitation (MAP) amounts are forecast for the WGRFC area.

For Thursday into Friday morning, no significant MAP amounts are
forecast for the WGRFC area.

For Friday into Saturday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 to 0.5 are
forecast across eastern New Mexico.

For Saturday into Monday morning, MAP amounts of 0.5 to 3.0
are forecast from the Texas Big Bend through northeast New Mexico.

The latest U.S. Drought Monitor for Texas shows the area considered
to be abnormally dry is around 8%, and only 1% of Texas is
experiencing moderate drought conditions. In New Mexico, none of
the state is experiencing abnormally dry conditions.

                     ...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...
...WGRFC Basins...
Other than portions of western Texas and especially western parts
of South Texas, rivers are near to above normal for this time of
year.  Deweyville (DWYT2) is still above minor flood stage.
Candelaria (CDET2) remains near action stage with higher flows.

No significant flooding is expected over the next five days.


              ...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...
The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts.  This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.

For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/

The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.weather.gov/wgrfc/wgrfcfop

The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:
http://www.facebook.com/NWSWestGulf

National Precipitation Analysis:
http://water.weather.gov/precip/

The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.weather.gov/wgrfc/wgrfcqpfpage

The US Drought Assessment:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought

The latest on Reservoir Information for Texas:
http://www.waterdatafortexas.org/reservoirs/statewide

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