Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center

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AGUS73 KMSR 221826
HMDMSR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1225 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

...PRECIPITATION...

DURING THE PAST 24-HOURS LIGHT RAIN FELL ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PORTION OF THE NCRFC REGION IN A LINE FROM ST LOUIS MO TO CHICAGO
IL TO GRAND RAPIDS MI. RAINFALL TOTALS WERE GENERALLY A QUARTER
INCH OR LESS.

DURING THE NEXT 24-HOURS...RAINFALL IS FORECAST FROM ST LOUIS MO
TO DETROIT MI. RAINFALL TOTALS OF AROUND A QUARTER IS EXPECTED.

LOOKING AHEAD FROM SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...A LARGE AREA OF
PRECIPITATION GENERALLY IN THE FORM OF RAIN IS FORECAST FOR
MISSOURI...ILLINOIS...INDIANA...WISCONSIN AND MICHIGAN. RAINFALL
TOTALS OF AN INCH TO AN INCH AND A HALF POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF
THIS AREA FOR THE 24-HOUR PERIOD ENDING MONDAY MORNING.

...HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS...

NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN THE NCRFC AREA AT THE MOMENT.  A
HANDFUL OF LOCATIONS ARE EXPERIENCING BANK-FULL RISES DUE TO
FREEZE-UP ICE JAMS... AND MANY RIVERS IN THE REGION ARE SEEING
A TEMPORARY REDUCTION IN FLOW DUE TO ICE FORMATION.

WITH THIS WEEKEND`S WARM UP AND RAIN EVENT... LOCATIONS IN
ILLINOIS... EASTERN WISCONSIN... AND MICHIGAN MAY SEE BANK-FULL TO
NEAR FLOOD CONDITIONS FROM RAIN AND SNOW MELT RUNOFF.  ICE AFFECTS
ARE LIKELY TO BE REDUCED AS THE RELATIVELY FRESH ICE SHOULD MELT
AND-OR BREAK UP EASILY.  STILL... THERE REMAINS A POSSIBILITY OF
ADDITIONAL ICE JAMS WITH THE INCREASED FLOW... AND ESPECIALLY AS
WE ENTER ANOTHER COLD PERIOD THROUGH NEXT WEEK.


FOR ADDITIONAL AND MORE IN-DEPTH INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER
FORECASTS...PRECIPITATION AND ALL HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION
IN THE NCRFC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...PLEASE REFER TO THE NCRFC
WEB PAGE AT:     HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NCRFC


EMERGENCY CALL BACK LIST: DAM   RJW   JMP   JCH

IF NO RESPONSE FROM THIS LIST... CALL THE DOH...SCH OR HIC.


$$

...JCH/JMP...





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