Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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858
FXHW01 KWNH 261207
PMDHI

HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
806 AM EDT TUE JUL 26 2016

VALID 00Z WED JUL 27 2016 - 00Z WED AUG 03 2016

THOUGHT THE 26/00Z ECENS/CANADIAN ENSEMBLE WERE BETTER DEPICTIONS
OF THE PACIFIC BASIN MEDIUM RANGE PATTERN VERSUS THE
GEFS---ESPECIALLY THE INTERACTIONS BETWEEN DISTURBANCES IN THE
SOUTHEAST PACIFIC AND THE MID-LATITUDE RIDGE/TROUGH STRUCTURE
ALONG THE MAINLAND`S SOUTHWEST COAST AROUND DAY 5.

EMPHASIS AMONGST THE 26/00Z DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE AND SOLUTIONS
CONCERNED THE EMERGENCE OF A WEST COAST TROUGH AXIS ALONG 130W
AROUND 31/12Z. THE STEERING INFLUENCES AND IMPACTS OF THIS TROUGH
--- ON THE SUBTROPICAL PACIFIC APPEARED TO BE ANOTHER REASON TO
LEAN ON THE CANADIAN/ECMWF SOLUTIONS AS `DECENT DAY-5` DEPICTIONS
OF THE PATTERN EVOLUTION IN THE EAST CENTRAL PACIFIC (AND HAWAI`I).

PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE MOST CURRENT
FORECAST INFORMATION CONCERNING "GEORGETTE" AND "FRANK".

VOJTESAK



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