Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary
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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 070536
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON JUL 6 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a large area of
low pressure located about 1350 miles east-southeast of the Big
Island of Hawaii are gradually becoming better organized. However,
satellite data suggest that the low does not have a well-defined
center at this time.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for development, and a tropical cyclone will likely form
over the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward
at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south of southern Mexico later this week.  Some development of this
system is possible this weekend while the low moves
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



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