Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary
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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241738
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN MAY 24 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The area of low pressure located about 1400 miles southeast of the
Big Island of Hawaii has degenerated into a trough.  The associated
shower activity remains limited, and development of this system is
not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

A broad and elongated area of low pressure located about 1550 miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is moving
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  Although showers and
thunderstorms have increased this morning, the activity remains
disorganized.  Environmental conditions are forecast to become less
favorable for development during the next day or so, and the chance
of this system becoming a tropical cyclone is decreasing.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred
miles south of the coast of Mexico during the next couple of days.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
gradual development of the system by mid-week while it moves
west-northwestward to northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


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