Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 250611 AFDCAR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 211 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014 .SYNOPSIS...
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LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE AWAY THROUGH THE MARITIMES TODAY. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH FROM CENTRAL CANADA TONIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY.
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&& .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
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WE WILL FINALLY GET A CHANCE TO DRY OUT TODAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT RAIN TO NORTHERN AND DOWNEAST MAINE THE PAST FEW DAYS CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST OF THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS DOWNEAST TODAY. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 40S NORTH AND LOW TO MID 50S DOWNEAST. LOW PRESSURE TRACKING ACROSS CENTRAL CANADA WILL BRING MORE SHOWERS TO THE REGION TONIGHT ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS. LOWS TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND LOW TO MID 40S DOWNEAST.
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&& .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
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LOW PRESSURE DROPPING DOWN FROM CENTRAL CANADA WILL CROSS THE AREA ON SUNDAY BRINGING SHOWERS, MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH. THE LOW WILL PULL EAST ACROSS THE MARITIMES SUNDAY NIGHT AS A BLUSTERY COOL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FOLLOWS BEHIND THE LOW. SHOWERS WILL BECOME LIGHTER. SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTH MAY MIX WITH WET SNOW LATE SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING AS COOLER AIR CIRCULATES IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW. SKIES WILL PARTIALLY CLEAR ACROSS THE NORTH MONDAY AFTERNOON AND BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR DOWNEAST AS THE LOW PULLS EAST AND AWAY.
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&& .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
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A THIN RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY BRINGING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. CLOUDS MAY INCREASE LATE TUESDAY AS A NEW AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKING THROUGH CENTRAL CANADA PULLS A WARM FRONT ACROSS THE AREA. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A MILD NIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING OCCLUDING FRONT. SOME SHOWERS WILL THEN BE LIKELY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE OCCLUDING FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THE AIR WILL STILL BE MILD BEHIND THIS FRONT AND SOME BREAKS OF SUNSHINE WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. SOME MUCH COOLER AIR DROPPING SOUTH THROUGH EASTERN CANADA WILL THEN BEGIN TO FLOW INTO THE REGION THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL BE DEVELOPING OFF THE EAST COAST. LATEST GUIDANCE IS TAKING THIS LOW SOUTH OF THE AREA, BUT IF IT DOES MAKE IT NORTH IT COULD BE COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW EARLY IN THE WEEKEND.
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&& .AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
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NEAR TERM: MAINLY VFR TODAY BUT THERE COULD BE SOME LINGERING MVFR CIGS THRU 12Z. VFR THIS EVENING WILL GIVE WAY TO MVFR IN SHOWERS LAET TONIGHT. SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT, POSSIBLY DROPPING TO IFR ACROSS THE NORTH AT TIMES. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR MONDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN VFR ON TUESDAY. VFR CONDITIONS TUESDAY NIGHT MAY DROP TO MVFR LATE AT NIGHT. MVFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WEDNESDAY.
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&& .MARINE...
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NEAR TERM: WIND/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH TONIGHT. SHORT TERM: AN SCA WILL BE NEEDED SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY, POSSIBLY REACHING A GALE MONDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL DIMINISH MONDAY NIGHT AND BE LIGHT TUESDAY AS RIDGING CROSSES THE WATER.
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&& .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
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ME...NONE. MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 AM SUNDAY TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
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&& $$ NEAR TERM...DUDA SHORT TERM...BLOOMER LONG TERM...BLOOMER AVIATION...DUDA/BLOOMER MARINE...DUDA/BLOOMER

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