Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
-- Highlight Changed Discussion --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000 FXUS61 KCAR 290044 AFDCAR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 844 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014 .SYNOPSIS... A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSING TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE REGION WILL DRAG A WEAK WARM FRONT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT...ALTHOUGH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FROM THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY. RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER THEN SETS UP FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THE BIGGER STORY WILL OCCUR THIS WEEKEND. LOW PRESSURE MOVING UP THE COAST WILL DRAG COLD AIR INTO THE REGION AS HIGHS ON SUNDAY WILL STRUGGLE TO GET OUT OF THE 30S AT MOST LOCATIONS. PRECIPITATION WITH THIS STORM IS STILL VERY UNCERTAIN THOUGH. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... ---715PM UPDATE--- NO UPDATES EXPECTED TO CURRENT FORECAST THIS EVENING. SIGNIFICANT ISSUES IN GETTING CURRENT MODEL AND ANALYSIS DATA INTO THE FORECAST SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DO NOT EXPECT THAT AN UPDATE WOULD IMPROVE THE CURRENT FORECAST. RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. /PREVIOUS DISCUSSION.../ WEAK WARM FRONT MOVES THROUGH TONIGHT. EXPECT SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH THE SYSTEM AND OVERCAST SKIES. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE SEASONABLE. && .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... LOW PRESSURE MOVING WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION WILL DRAG ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION. EXPECT SCATTERED PRECIPITATION WITH THE SYSTEM...ALTHOUGH NOTHING TOO ORGANIZED. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... ALL EYES WILL BE ON THE POTENTIAL FOR THE WEEKEND STORM. MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH SOME OF THE DETAILS...BUT CERTAINLY NOT ALL. THE EURO BRINGS THE SYSTEM MUCH CLOSER TO THE COAST THAN THE GFS DOES. LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SATURDAY NIGHT OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST AND BEGIN TO TREK NORTH AND EAST. BY 12Z SUNDAY MORNING THE EURO HAS THE SYSTEM JUST OUTSIDE OF THE BENCHMARK...WHILE THE GFS HAS THE SYSTEM SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES FURTHER EAST. OBVIOUSLY...THE EURO SOLUTION WOULD HAVE THE MOST IMPACT. IT IS STILL QUITE FAR OUT THOUGH AND WILL BE THE FOCUS OF THE WEATHER FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. && .AVIATION /01Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO DETERIORATE TONIGHT TO IFR/LIFR THROUGH LATE TOMORROW MORNING. OTHERWISE...PRIMARILY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. && .MARINE... NO FLAGS EXPECTED UNTIL THE WEEKEND. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && $$ NEAR TERM...POHL SHORT TERM...POHL LONG TERM...POHL AVIATION...POHL MARINE...POHL

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.