Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS
FXXX01 KWNP 162201
:Product: Daily Space Weather Summary and Forcast daydsf.txt
:Issued: 2014 Nov 16 2200 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# Daily Space Weather Summary and Forecast.
Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15/2100Z to
16/2100Z: Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a M5 event observed at
16/1748Z from Region 2209 (S15E31). There are currently 5 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (17 Nov, 18
Nov, 19 Nov).
Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at unsettled to active levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak
speed of 706 km/s at 16/0556Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 15/2100Z. The
maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 16/0042Z. Electrons
greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 3557
Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (17 Nov), quiet to
active levels on day two (18 Nov) and quiet to unsettled levels on day
three (19 Nov). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on
days one, two, and three (17 Nov, 18 Nov, 19 Nov).