Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS
FXXX01 KWNP 131456
:Product: Daily Space Weather Summary and Forcast daydsf.txt
:Issued: 2014 Sep 13 1455 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# Daily Space Weather Summary and Forecast.
Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11/2100Z to
12/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at
11/2126Z. There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (13 Sep, 14
Sep, 15 Sep).
Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to major storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak
speed of 672 km/s at 12/1534Z. Total IMF reached 31 nT at 12/1813Z. The
maximum southward component of Bz reached -15 nT at 12/1945Z. Protons
greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 126
pfu at 12/1555Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 504 pfu.
Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at active to severe storm levels on day one (13 Sep), unsettled to
minor storm levels on day two (14 Sep) and quiet to active levels on day
three (15 Sep). Protons are expected to cross threshold on days one and
two (13 Sep, 14 Sep) and are expected to cross threshold on day three