079
FNUS73 KABR 081053
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for Redlin GPA RX...SD GFP
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
553 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Low pressure will meander around the region today.
By 3 pm, however, a weak low sets up around the burn site and
could be the focus point for strong to severe thunderstorms with
large hail and strong, gusty winds through mid evening. While the
severe threat diminishes this evening, showers may linger into
Thursday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers late in the afternoon. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Rain
                    showers likely late in the afternoon.
CWR.................7 percent increasing to 52 percent.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1500, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100-4700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (27300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (88300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 (low).

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........29  33  41  51  63  73  78  81
Weather cov.....                    CHC LKY LKY
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   10  30  60  60
Temp............56  58  60  62  62  62  62  62
RH..............59  55  55  52  54  56  56  56
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   E   E   NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..10  13  14  15  15  14  13  15
20 FT wind gust.14  17  18  21  21  21  22  25
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 3.3 3.9 4.6 4.7 4.3 3.6 2.9
Smoke Dispersal.PR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  FR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
                    evening, then slight chance of rain showers
                    overnight.
CWR.................52 percent decreasing to 2 percent.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1900, then 3 until 2200, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    early in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400-1300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 12 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4300 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 (low).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........83  76  70  74  76  69  65  54  48  42  40  34
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60  30  40  40  30  20  20  10  0   0   0   0
Temp............59  57  56  53  52  51  50  50  49  48  47  46
RH..............62  67  69  80  83  83  86  86  86  89  93  93
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..13  13  12  9   9   8   9   9   8   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.25  24  18  15  15  16  16  17  16  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 9 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......500-5800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 14 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (81600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 (low).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........30  28  22  21  26  25  31  41  47  50  49  45
Weather cov.....                                        SCH SCH
Weather type....                                        RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20
Temp............45  45  47  51  54  56  58  61  61  62  62  63
RH..............93  89  86  77  71  69  62  51  53  50  50  48
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  N   NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..9   10  12  12  12  12  13  14  14  13  13  12
20 FT wind gust.18  20  17  17  16  16  17  18  17  17  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.1 1.4 1.9 3.0 3.8 4.9 5.8 5.1 3.7 3.4
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  FR  FR

$$
Forecaster...Wise
Requested by...Owen McElroy
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413426.1/ABR
.DELDT 05/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL owen.mcelroy@state.sd.us