Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 221947
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
247 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL ELONGATED TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN PANHANDLES NOW WILL
CONTINUE TO SWEEP THE PRECIPITATION EAST OF THE PANHANDLES TONIGHT.
FOG WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS THE PANHANDLES GIVEN THE WET
GROUND AND LIGHT WINDS. THE FOG SHOULD LIFT BY MID DAY THURSDAY...
LEAVING MAINLY SUNNY SKIES BEHIND.

A WARMING TREND WILL COMMENCE THURSDAY AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
SATURDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AREA.  THE UPPER
RIDGE WILL THEN PUSH OFF TO THE EAST TO ALLOW A FAST MOVING SHORT
WAVE TROUGH TO MOVE THROUGH THE WESTERN U.S. AND INTO THE PLAINS BY
MONDAY NIGHT. THIS SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL BRING A COLD FRONT THROUGH
THE AREA...BUT THE JURY IS STILL OUT ON WHETHER IT WILL BRING RAIN
TO THE REGION OR NOT. MODELS ARE AGAIN AT ODDS ON HOW STRONG THIS
SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL BE. FOR NOW WILL LEAVE THE FORECAST DRY FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK UNTIL THE MODELS START TO CONVERGE ON A SOLUTION.
COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE IN STORE NO MATTER WHICH MODEL YOU LOOK AT
FOR THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                53  77  52  85  53 /  10   5   5   0   0
BEAVER OK                  52  81  52  87  53 /  20   5   5   0   0
BOISE CITY OK              49  78  50  85  49 /   0   0   5   0   0
BORGER TX                  56  80  55  87  55 /  10   5   5   0   0
BOYS RANCH TX              52  80  50  86  51 /   5   5   5   0   0
CANYON TX                  53  80  49  85  52 /  10   5   5   0   0
CLARENDON TX               53  79  54  87  56 /  20   5   5   0   0
DALHART TX                 50  79  45  85  49 /   5   0   5   0   0
GUYMON OK                  52  79  50  88  52 /   5   5   5   0   0
HEREFORD TX                51  81  48  85  51 /  10   5   5   0   0
LIPSCOMB TX                55  80  51  87  56 /  20   5   5   0   0
PAMPA TX                   52  78  53  85  55 /  20   5   5   0   0
SHAMROCK TX                54  81  52  88  56 /  30   5   5   0   0
WELLINGTON TX              57  81  54  89  58 /  30   5   5   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

08/15




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