Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Billings, MT

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
663
FXUS65 KBYZ 050216 AAA
AFDBYZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
816 PM MDT WED MAY 4 2016

.UPDATE...BESIDES A FEW MID AND HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING OVER THE
AREA AND SOME CUMULUS DIMINISHING OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
MOUNTAINS...A FAIRLY QUIET EVENING BY ALL RESPECTS. NO MAJOR
CHANGES WERE MADE WITH THIS UPDATE AND CURRENT FORECAST REMAINS ON
TRACK. PREVIOUS FORECAST IS BELOW. STP

&&

.SHORT TERM...VALID FOR THU AND FRI...

THROUGH THE SHORT TERM MONTANA WILL SEE THE RIDGE AXIS SHIFTING TO
THE EAST. AS IT DOES...THE FLOW WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
UNSETTLED. HAVE KEPT THE SLIGHT CHANCES IN THE FORECAST THIS
AFTERNOON AND AGAIN TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THE NSSL WRF IS SHOWING
SOME SCATTERED LIGHTNING ACTIVITY OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN MOUNTAINS.
OTHERWISE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE NEAR RECORD TO RECORD
FOR THURSDAY.

FRIDAY WILL SEE A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH. THIS WILL INCREASE
THE RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH LOWERING TEMPERATURES.
TEMPERATURES WILL 10 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER ON FRIDAY. CHANCES WILL
DECREASE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THROUGH THE EVENING AS THE FRONT
MOVES OUT OF THE AREA. REIMER

.LONG TERM...VALID FOR SAT...SUN...MON...TUE...WED...

LATEST MODELS SEEM TO HAVE COME TO AN AGREEMENT TO KEEP THE
GREAT BASIN LOW SOUTH OF THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WEAK
DIFFLUENCE AND ENERGY AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE LOW WILL KEEP A
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ALONG THE MT/WY BORDER. MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY WILL BRING A TROF IN FROM THE NORTHWEST THAT PERSIST WELL
INTO NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES SEASONAL AND PROVIDE A
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS JUST ABOUT EACH DAY INTO THE LATER PORTION OF
NEXT WEEK. OVERALL A BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
CHAMBERS

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WITH NO AVIATION HAZARDS EXPECTED. CHAMBERS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS...

    THU     FRI     SAT     SUN     MON     TUE     WED
-----------------------------------------------------------
BIL 052/088 055/066 048/065 046/071 048/068 044/060 041/062
    00/U    13/T    33/T    22/W    23/W    33/W    33/W
LVM 046/084 046/062 043/062 039/069 042/067 039/059 036/062
    01/B    25/T    44/T    22/W    23/W    33/W    32/W
HDN 044/089 047/071 043/068 041/071 041/069 041/061 038/063
    00/U    12/T    43/W    22/W    23/W    44/W    33/W
MLS 051/091 055/075 047/072 046/074 047/070 046/060 042/063
    00/U    11/B    21/U    11/U    23/W    44/W    32/W
4BQ 046/090 050/079 045/067 042/069 043/069 043/061 040/059
    00/U    12/T    53/W    22/W    23/W    33/W    33/W
BHK 046/089 050/076 043/071 041/071 043/069 042/059 038/060
    00/U    11/N    21/U    11/U    22/W    33/W    33/W
SHR 041/085 043/068 042/062 039/066 039/065 038/058 037/058
    00/U    13/T    64/T    33/W    23/W    44/W    43/W

&&

.BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...NONE.
WY...NONE.

&&

$$
WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.