Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FXUS64 KEWX 262005
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
305 PM CDT TUE JUL 26 2016

.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Wednesday Night)...
26/12Z upper air data shows a moist atmosphere in place with
precipitable water values near 1.9" and KDRT with near 2.1" at
KCRP. Given the well above normal moisture and daytime heating,
we expect another round of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon
and evening, especially along and south of the Highway 90 corridor.
Similar to yesterday, some of the stronger thunderstorms will be
capable of producing locally heavy rainfall and wind gusts to 50
MPH. Some minor flooding may also develop given well above normal
moisture and slow moving storms. A few spots could pick up a quick
2-3 inches of rainfall, especially if several storms move over the
same region. Otherwise, rainfall amounts should average 1/4 to 3/4
of an inch for most locations.

On Wednesday, deep layer moisture persists over the region with
most areas expected to remain around 2". We`ll continue to see
some fairly broad cyclonic flow in the mid-levels and with daytime
heating, we expect another round of scattered showers and
thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours. Similar to
today, can`t rule out a some pockets of locally heavy rainfall
across the region and we will continue to mention this in the
hazardous weather outlook.

&&

.LONG TERM (Thursday through Tuesday)...
The atmosphere begins to dry out late this week (Friday and
Saturday) and we`ll begin to show a decrease in rain chances from
west to east across south central Texas. We`ll keep a 20-30%
chance for rain across all areas on Thursday, with chances then
limited to areas mainly east of I-35 on Friday and Saturday.
Temperatures will also begin to increase, with near normal
readings expected Thursday and above normal for Friday and
Saturday.

The subtropical ridge axis will then gradually build into early
next week across all areas. While most areas will likely remain
dry with above normal temperatures, prefer to hang on to a low
chance for convection near the coastal plains.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              76  96  76  97  76 /  20  40  20  20  10
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  75  94  75  96  75 /  20  40  20  20  20
New Braunfels Muni Airport     74  95  75  96  75 /  30  40  20  20  10
Burnet Muni Airport            74  93  75  95  75 /  20  40  20  30  10
Del Rio Intl Airport           77  97  78  98  78 /  30  30  20  20  10
Georgetown Muni Airport        75  93  76  95  76 /  20  40  20  30  20
Hondo Muni Airport             75  93  75  96  74 /  30  40  20  20  10
San Marcos Muni Airport        74  93  75  96  75 /  30  40  20  20  10
La Grange - Fayette Regional   76  93  77  96  76 /  30  50  20  30  20
San Antonio Intl Airport       76  93  77  95  76 /  30  40  20  20  10
Stinson Muni Airport           76  95  77  98  76 /  30  40  20  20  10

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Mesoscale/Aviation...Treadway
Synoptic/Grids...24
Public Service/Data Collection...30


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