Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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000
FXUS64 KEWX 112052
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
252 PM CST THU FEB 11 2016

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...
LATEST VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGES ARE DEPICTING FEW
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ALONG A COLD FRONT BOUNDARY OVER CENTRAL TEXAS.
THE WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY PUSH TO THE SOUTH OVERNIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING. RECENT WEATHER GUIDANCE ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH
THE PASSAGE OF THIS COLD FRONT OVERNIGHT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS (NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY). PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
COASTAL PLAINS COUNTIES OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT. NO RAIN CHANCES EXPECTED WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL DROP INTO THE 40S ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY TO
THE LOWER 50S ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS.

EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY TO SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY.
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE 2 TO 5 DEGREES COOLER THAN TODAYS
RANGING FROM THE MID 70S ALONG INTERSTATE 35 TO LOWER 80S ALONG
THE RIO GRANDE. NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS OF 5 TO 10 MPH ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE COOLER LATE
FRIDAY/SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS THE AREA AS A SHALLOW COOLER
AIRMASS SPREADS ACROSS THE REGION IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT.

&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
WITH A COOLER AIRMASS IN PLACE...SATURDAYS HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH THE UPPER 60S ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND MID 70S
ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE AND SOUTHWEST COUNTIES. THESE TEMPERATURES
ARE MORE ALIGNED WITH CLIMATE NORMALS TO THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.
SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES IN COMBINATION WITH A SHORT WAVE
TROUGH ARE FORECAST TO PUSH ACROSS THE AREA LATE SATURDAY INTO
MONDAY. AT THE SURFACE...A WEAK COLD FRONT IS ANTICIPATED TO MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY. WITH THIS SCENARIO IN PLACE...THE EASTERN
HALF OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS WILL BE FAVORED FOR LIGHT DRIZZLE AND
LIGHT RAIN ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS AS
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE THE
MEDIAN MOVING AVERAGE (0.81 INCHES SUNDAY FEBRUARY 14 AND MONDAY
FEBRUARY 15).

DRY AND WARMER WEATHER CONDITIONS RETURN TUESDAY AND PREVAIL
THROUGH THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              48  77  47  68  51 /   0   0   0   0  10
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  42  76  44  68  50 /   0   0   0   0  10
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     44  78  45  70  51 /   0   0   0   0  10
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            45  74  44  66  50 /   0   0   0   0  10
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           44  83  49  75  54 /   0   0   0   0  -
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        44  74  43  67  50 /   0   0   0   0  10
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             40  82  44  73  51 /   0   0   0   0  10
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        44  76  45  69  50 /   0   0   0   0  10
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   51  77  48  68  50 /   0   0   0  -   10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       46  79  47  69  52 /   0   0   0   0  10
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           47  80  48  72  52 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...26
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...17
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...LH


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