Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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241
FXUS64 KLCH 300801
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
301 AM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...

.Short Term...Today through Sunday
Skies were mostly clear overnight with near calm winds and
temperatures in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Some patchy fog was
observed over southeast Texas and central Louisiana. A few showers
were occasionally developing over the Gulf but most of the
precipitation was focused well north of the area. At the
surface...a weak high pressure ridge will continue over the
northern Gulf. In the upper levels...the forecast area is in
between and upper trough over the Southern Plains and an
anticyclone over the Eastern Gulf. Little change in these
patterns are expected through the weekend. Given this
scenario...will continue trend of scattered diurnal convection
along seabreeze. Highest POPs will be over the east where better
PWATs are progged. At this time...plan little if any change to POP
forecast. High temperatures will reach to near 90 coast to lower
90s to mid 90s.

.Long Term...Sunday night through Friday
Upper anticyclone will build over the area through the middle of the
week. While diurnal seabreeze activity is still expected...POPs will
only be in the 20-30 percent range through Tuesday.  As per model
blends...will increase POPs as tropical wave is forecasted to move
into the Gulf around Thursday.  Temperatures should remain near
normal through the week.


&&

.MARINE...
High pressure ridge will meander along the Gulf coast and northern
Gulf through the middle of next week.   This will result in weak
onshore flow and low seas. Initial forecasts with approaching
tropical wave suggests only a modest increase in winds and seas late
next week with an increasing chance of rain.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  94  74  94  75 /  40  20  30  20
LCH  94  77  92  78 /  40  10  30  20
LFT  93  77  93  77 /  50  20  30  20
BPT  94  77  94  77 /  40  10  30  10

&&

.LCH Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...04



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