Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
FXUS65 KLKN 241052
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
252 AM PST Fri Feb 24 2017
.SYNOPSIS...Light snow showers in northeast Nevada will diminish
today. The next winter disturbance will bring more light snow
Saturday with a stronger system expected to affect the state late
Sunday and Monday. Drier conditions along with warming
temperatures move into the region for the middle of next week.
.SHORT TERM...Today through Sunday. A few light snow showers or
flurries will continue to diminish today primarily across Elko
county. A trough will drop southeast across the state Saturday but
lack of significant moisture will yield only a trace to at most
one inch of snow in valleys with only 1 to 2 inches in the
mountains. Quiescent weather will quickly follow the in the wake
of the trough Sunday with yet another, more substantial system
expected to bring additional snow to the state beginning late
Sunday across the northern tier of the state.
.LONG TERM...Sunday night through Friday. Models remain in fairly
good agreement on a cold, deep, and anomalous trof clipping
northern Nevada Sunday night through Monday. This will drag a
cold front across the area and support widespread snow showers. At
this time, accumulations look light, generally 1 to 3 inches for
most places. Localized areas could see higher amounts where
persistent snow showers setup. This system will still need to be
watched closely, since H5 heights are in the 536dm range. It could
overachieve on snow amounts a little, due to the colder temps and
better snow ratios. Snow ratios could easily reach 15/20 to 1.
After the system passes, a moist and cold northerly/northwesterly
flow will invade northern Nevada. Enough instability will exists
for widespread snow showers from Monday through Wednesday.
Accumulations will be light and confined to the mtns and upslope
regions. This will also keep the CWA quite chilly with highs in
the upper 20s to lower 30s. Many areas will dip into the single
digits and teens for morning lows.
By Wednesday night and Thursday, heights will rise substantially.
This will start a slow moderation of temps. The weather will also
be dry, with an extended period of benign weather likely.
.AVIATION...A few light snow showers/flurries are possible for
KEKO, but no impacts are expected. The rest of the TAF sites
.HYDROLOGY...Lower Humboldt remains in flood stage. Battle
Mountain is nearing moderate flood stage While Comus remains in
moderate flood stage. Forecast for Battle Mountain holds steady
very near moderate stage through the weekend while Comus is
expected to fall below moderate over the weekend. Winnemucca
should fall slowly over the weekend as well.