Area Forecast Discussion
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FXPQ60 PGUM 222149
AFDPQ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tiyan GU
749 AM ChST Fri Feb 23 2018

.Marianas Synopsis...
Mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and moderate to fresh
trade winds prevail across the Marianas this morning. Buoy
readings show seas between 5 and 8 feet.

&&

.Discussion...
A weak tropical disturbance to the southwest of Guam moving westward
across Yap state brought mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers
to the Marianas this morning. These showers will move through fairly
quickly, with partly cloudy skies and isolated light showers expected
by this afternoon. A fairly dry pattern is then expected to return to
the region through the weekend into next week.

&&

.Eastern Micronesia and Chuuk...
A fresh trade-wind surge has pushed most convective activity south
and west of the main islands. The exception is Majuro where a renewed
surge is producing just enough trade-wind convergence to produce
mostly cloudy skies and scattered (probably widely scattered)
showers. Overall, expect fair weather to continue with the possible
exception of Pohnpei. Between Saturday night and Monday Pohnpei could
get just active enough to promote a slight chance of thunderstorms.
At this time no significant hazards are anticipated, at least
weather-related ones.

&&

.Western Micronesia...
As the circulation moves westward, winds are gradually diminishing in
Western Micronesia. Winds and waves only look to be hazardous at
Palau now, although they still remain elevated at Yap. Yap is not
having any lightning now, however they are surrounded on three sides,
so left it in the forecast today. The weather appears to be on its
way to a quieter state, although that could change at Chuuk as soon
as Sunday, likely related to the nudge upward in activity at Pohnpei
on Saturday night. Winds and waves are forecast to diminish at Palau
after today, although they could persist a bit longer if the weak
circulation should delay its departure or strengthen.

&&

.GUM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GU...None.
Marianas Waters...None.
&&

$$

Kleeschulte/Stanko



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