Area Forecast Discussion
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FXPQ60 PGUM 240545
AFDPQ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tiyan GU
328 PM ChST Wed Aug 24 2016

.Synopsis...
Now that TD 14W is out of the area, drier and quieter weather is
finally here for a few days. Southwest winds have subsided to
moderate over the Marianas waters, and seas have decreased to 7 to
8 feet at the buoys. Radar shows only isolated showers.

&&

.Discussion...
Models continue to keep the Marianas in southwest monsoon winds,
but at much reduced speeds--generally around 10 mph. The mid-
levels look dry for a few days...resulting in partly cloudy skies
and isolated showers for the next week. The best possibility for
locally heavy showers through the weekend would be for Guam, where
light southwest winds and daytime heating might lead to island
showers in the afternoons.

&&

.Marine/Surf...
Still have surf reports up to 9 feet at Oka Point on Guam, and
at Sugar Dock on Saipan, but buoys show seas diminishing. Should
that trend continue, the high surf advisory will likely expire on
schedule at 6 PM.

&&

.Eastern Micronesia...
Weather is improving over Pohnpei State as a surface trough slowly
moves away westward. Fair weather prevails over Kosrae State today
while a trade-wind trough is moving into the Marshall Islands from
the east. Patchy showers will move across Majuro tonight through
Thursday, then to Kosrae by Thursday night or Friday and across
Pohnpei State this weekend.

&&

.Western Micronesia...
Chuuk; Winds are turning northeast as a surface trough arrives from
Pohnpei State this afternoon. Spotty showers are expected for the
next couple of days, then another surface trough could arrive from
Eastern Micronesia this weekend with a few more showers and possibly
some thunderstorms.

Yap and Koror; TD 14W and the moist monsoon flow continue moving
away northward. Satellite shows a few showers near Yap and Koror
this afternoon, but mostly dry weather is expected to develop as a
surface ridge builds across far Western Micronesia during the
coming days. Gentle winds with benign seas are expected through
the longer range.

&&

.GUM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GU...High Surf Advisory until 6 PM CHST this evening for GUZ001>004.

Marianas Waters...None.

&&

$$

Middlebrooke/Simpson



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