Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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462
FXUS64 KSJT 292216
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
516 PM CDT THU SEP 29 2016


.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Northeast winds 5 to 8 KTS will become light this evening as
surface high pressure settles over the region. VFR next 24 hours
with a dry atmosphere.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 335 PM CDT THU SEP 29 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Friday)

Light and variable winds are expected overnight as surface high
pressure builds into West Central Texas. This combined with a dry
airmass will result in fairly good radiational cooling conditions
overnight. The one caveat will be be cirrus that is forecast to move
into the region overnight. Although the cirrus may hinder cooling
somewhat, some of the coolest readings since last spring, are
expected overnight. Overnight low temperatures will mainly be in
the low 50s, although a few low lying areas and river valleys may
drop into the upper 40s. Pleasant temperatures are forecast on
Friday with high temperatures mainly in the mid 70s to near 80
degrees.

LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Wednesday)

A quiet weather pattern will continue across West Central Texas
Saturday through Monday of next week, as short wave ridging
prevails. This will keep our area dry over the weekend, with
temperatures in the 80s and overnight lows mainly in the mid and
upper 50s. High temperatures Saturday will be slightly below
normal with highs in the lower 80s, warming into the mid 80s for
Sunday and Monday.

The next chance for rainfall for our area will be next Tuesday
into Wednesday, as an upper level trough affects the region. The
medium range models continue to show the upper trough moving east
across the Rockies on Tuesday and into the Plains on Wednesday,
with a surface trough/dryline mixing east into our western
counties Tuesday afternoon and evening. As the upper trough
continues east on Wednesday, an associated cold front will move
south across the area late Wednesday or Wednesday night. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms will be possible mainly Tuesday
afternoon into Tuesday night, with precipitation diminishing from
west to east on Wednesday. Give the strength of the upper system,
the potential for a few strong to severe storms will exist but
details regarding timing and particular threats remain low at
this time. As for temperatures, expect near normal highs in the
mid 80s on Tuesday, cooling into the upper 70s to around 80
degrees by Thursday behind the cold front.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  51  76  56  81 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  50  78  56  83 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  51  80  55  83 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood  51  76  54  82 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  54  74  57  82 /   0   0   0   5
Ozona       50  76  54  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

99/99/04



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