Area Forecast Discussion
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682
FXUS62 KTAE 211925
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
325 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...
Despite the eclipse, afternoon and evening showers and
thunderstorm remain possible. Best rain chances initially over the
Panhandle and SE Alabama. However, by late afternoon/early
evening, expect showers to enter the eastern zones courtesy of the
east coast seabreeze. By late evening, most activity should be
confined to the coastal waters, with land areas drying out.

In eclipse related observations, the temperature here at NWS
Tallahassee dropped about 2.5 degrees. However, the eclipse did
have a substantial impact on the afternoon cumulus field, which
was well developed earlier in the afternoon. Post-eclipse, nearly
all of the shallow cumulus clouds had dissipated.


.SHORT TERM [Tuesday Through Wednesday Night]...
Typical summertime weather is expected on Tuesday, with convection
mainly driven by the seabreeze and afternoon heating. Slightly
higher rain chances are forecast for Wednesday as a front slides
south towards the area and provides a bit of enhanced forcing.
With the return to slightly wetter conditions, afternoon
temperatures are only expected to climb into the lower 90s,
instead of the mid 90s from the past several days.

.LONG TERM [Thursday Through Monday]...
To start the period the area will between a trough over the
northeast and the remnants of Harvey over the Texas/Mexico
border. A front extending from the trough will move through over
the weekend keeping rain chances high. As a low moves up the east
coast of Florida, we may see some drying on the back side of the
low. PoPs will generally be 30-50% with highs in the upper 80s to
low 90s.

&&

.AVIATION [Through 18Z Tuesday]...
Scattered thunderstorms will potentially impact all terminals
through early evening. Thereafter, VFR conditions and light winds
are expected through the overnight hours into Tuesday morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds and seas are expected to remain low through the next several
days. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible
throughout the week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
No fire weather issues are anticipated due to light winds and
high RH values. Dispersion values will be marginally low, but not
quite low enough to warrant a headline at this time.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Localized flooding is possible with stronger storms as rain
chances return to normal. There are no widespread flooding
concerns this period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   75  92  75  93  75 /  20  40  20  50  20
Panama City   76  90  77  90  78 /  20  30  10  30  20
Dothan        74  92  74  92  74 /  20  30  20  50  20
Albany        74  92  75  93  74 /  20  30  20  50  30
Valdosta      73  92  73  92  74 /  30  40  20  50  30
Cross City    73  93  74  93  75 /  40  20  20  40  20
Apalachicola  76  89  76  90  77 /  20  30  10  30  20

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Camp
SHORT TERM...Camp
LONG TERM...Camp
AVIATION...Camp
MARINE...Camp
FIRE WEATHER...Lahr
HYDROLOGY...Camp



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