Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 221353
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
953 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MORNING PATCHY FOG HAS DISSIPATED AT MOST LOCATIONS THIS MORNING.
A FEW SHOWERS ARE IN PLACE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP GENERALLY AFTER
NOON TODAY FORMING ALONG SEA BREEZE AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES.
TEMPERATURES ARE ON TRACK TO REACH INTO THE LOWER 90S THIS
AFTERNOON...AND HAVE ONLY LOWERED MORNING RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE
AREA. WILL UPDATE FOR THIS CHANGE..THOUGH AFTERNOON AND OVERALL
PERIOD RAIN CHANCES REMAIN THE SAME.

&&

.AVIATION...
KLAL CONTINUES TO HAVE LIFR CONDITIONS THIS HOUR AND MVFR CEILINGS
ARE IN PLACE AT KPIE...BUT OTHERWISE VFR PREVAILS AND SHOULD
PREVAIL AT KLAL AND KPIE BY 14Z AS THE MORNING FOG AND LOW CLOUDS
DISSIPATE. AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN BE
POSSIBLE GENERALLY 22/17Z-23/01Z WITH MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORMS THAT MOVE OVER A TERMINAL.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL GIVE WAY TO ATLANTIC
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING IN ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA WATERS
WEDNESDAY. THIS RIDGE THEN SETTLES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN WATERS
THROUGH SATURDAY. THE GRADIENT REMAINS RELAXED WITH LIGHT WINDS
AND LOWS SEAS...ALTHOUGH BOTH WILL BE HIGHER IN AND NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/FIRE WEATHER...24/HUBBARD
MARINE...09/RUDE
DECISION SUPPORT...05/CARLISLE




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