Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS62 KTBW 011339
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
939 AM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.UPDATE...
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY INCREASE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EARLY
THIS MORNING WITH THE PW FROM THE 12Z RAOB NOW AT 1.79 INCHES WHICH
IS UP JUST OVER ONE THIRD OF AN INCH FROM YESTERDAY AT THIS TIME.
THIS INCREASE IN MOISTURE COMBINED WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND A WEAK
SURFACE TROUGH PERSISTING OVER THE PENINSULA SHOULD RESULT IN BETTER
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS TODAY WITH THE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES
AND COVERAGE OF STORMS SETTING UP ALONG THE SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS
OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN INTERIOR LOCATIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS. A WEAK STEERING FLOW WILL FAVOR SLOW MOVING STORMS WITH SOME
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN SOME LOCATIONS. IN ADDITION
TO THE RAIN FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL
ACCOMPANY THE STORMS TODAY. THE CURRENT FORECAST HAS A GOOD HANDLE
ON ALL OF THIS WITH NO MORNING UPDATE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...
DEVELOPING SHRA/TSRA MAY BRING BRIEF MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS TO KLAL
KSRQ...KPGD...KFMY...AND KRSW TERMINALS AFTER 18Z AND HAVE HANDLED
WITH VCTS FOR NOW...OTHERWISE MAINLY VFR IS EXPECTED AT ALL SITES.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME WEST TO
NORTHWEST AT 8 TO 10 KNOTS AFTER 18Z AS THE SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL RETURN TO ALL SITES AFTER 01Z TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW HEADLINE CRITERIA TODAY
THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO
THE REGION THIS WEEKEND WILL ALLOW FOR SOME ENHANCED THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY FOR THE MARINE AREA. THE MAIN MARINE CONCERN WILL BE
LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH THUNDERSTORMS. NO
CHANGES EXPECTED IN THE NEXT FORECAST ISSUANCE AROUND 10 AM THIS
MORNING.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...57/MCMICHAEL
MARINE...11/MCKAUGHAN
DECISION SUPPORT...18/FLEMING




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.