Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS West Gulf RFC

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AGUS74 KFWR 282117
HMDFWR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX
1126 AM CDT WED JUN 28 2017

                    VALID JUNE 28 THROUGH JULY 3

...SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS TODAY BEFORE DRIER
AIR RETURNS LATER THIS WEEK...

                   ...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

With semi-zonal flow over the central and southern CONUS, in
general, high temperatures will be on the return for WGRFC.
Rainfall chances continue along the southeast Texas coast.  A
summertime cold front will move into north and central Texas on
Friday afternoon bringing the possibility of convective rainfall
there as well.  The majority of WGRFC will be dry and see high
temperatures continue to increase.

                    ...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...
For Today into Thursday morning, Mean Areal Precipitation (MAP)
amounts of 0.25 to 0.50 inches are forecast along the southeast
Texas coast.

For Thursday into Friday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 to 0.50 inches
are forecast along the southeast Texas coast.

For Friday into Saturday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 to 0.50 inches
are forecast along the Texas - Oklahoma border.

For Saturday into Monday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 to 1.0 inches
are forecast along the Texas - Oklahoma border.

The latest U.S. Drought Monitor for Texas shows the area considered
to be abnormally dry is around 27%, and roughly 5% of Texas is
experiencing moderate drought conditions. In New Mexico, 25% of
the state is experiencing abnormally dry conditions, with about 7%
of the state in the moderate drought category.

                     ...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...
...WGRFC Basins...
With the exception of out of bank flows on Village Creek near Kountz
(KOUT2), a slight rise to action stage at Sweeney on the San Bernard
(SWYT2) and sustained minor flooding on the Sabine river near
Deweyville (DWYT2), all WGRFC forecast locations are below criteria.
Rainfall continues and is forecast along the Texas coast for the next
few days however no significant river flooding is forecast.


              ...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...
The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts.  This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.

For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/

The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.weather.gov/wgrfc/wgrfcfop

The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:
http://www.facebook.com/NWSWestGulf

National Precipitation Analysis:
http://water.weather.gov/precip/

The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.weather.gov/wgrfc/wgrfcqpfpage

The US Drought Assessment:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought

The latest on Reservoir Information for Texas:
http://www.waterdatafortexas.org/reservoirs/statewide

02

$$





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