Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FLUS44 KLZK 201026

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
426 AM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
426 AM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue through the
period but become much more widespread and heavier over the
northwest part of the area by late this afternoon.

The precipitation is associated with a very slow moving cold
front that will sag into central Arkansas by Wednesday morning.
Heavy rain will accompany this front as it moves southward with
several inches of precipitation possible over the northwest half
of the state.

Flash flooding will be possible and flood watches are already up
for the majority of the area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday Through Monday

Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms will continue on
Wednesday as the cold front slowly moves through. Several more
inches of rain will be possible from Little Rock to the north and
west through Wednesday...before the axis of heavy rainfall shifts
to the southeast Wednesday night into Thursday as the cold front
moves through.

Rainfall amounts through Thursday will range from 2 to 3 inches
across the southeast third of the state to in excess of 5 inches
across central and northwest sections of the state. Some locally
higher amounts cannot be ruled out in these areas. As a result,
the threat for flash and river flooding will increase over time
even with some areas across the northern and western portion of
the state in a drought at this time.

Additional heavy rainfall will return to the forecast by late
Thursday through next weekend as the front moves back to the
north. Additional rainfall amounts of 2 or more inches will be
possible across some portion of the state.

This will result in storm total rainfall amounts through next
weekend of 3 to 5 inches across the far southeast portion of the
state...and 5 to 7 or more inches across a large portion of
Arkansas further north and west. Some locally higher amounts will
be possible. As a result...the threat for widespread river and
flash flooding will continue to increase throughout the week and
into the weekend.

The front will finally move through the state Saturday but the
latest data is indicating that some severe weather can not be
discounted as the front finally moves through

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.


Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.


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