Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS48 KWNS 230736
SWOD48
SPC AC 230735

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0235 AM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

VALID 261200Z - 311200Z

...DISCUSSION...
A LOW AMPLITUDE UPPER TROUGH WILL EXIT THE NERN STATES ON FRI/D4
WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS MUCH OF THE ERN STATES RESULTING
IN A LOW THREAT OF STORMS. BY SAT/D5...MODELS SHOW A COMPACT
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AFFECTING THE NRN PLAINS AND UPPER MS VALLEY WITH
ONLY A WEAK SFC REFLECTION SUGGESTING A WEAK FOCUS FOR DEVELOPMENT.
MOISTURE WILL BE IN THE PROCESS OF RETURNING NWD AROUND THE ERN U.S.
HIGH...THUS INSTABILITY MAY NOT BE PARTICULARLY STRONG. STILL...A
FEW MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS MAY OCCUR FROM ERN NEB ACROSS IA AND
INTO MN AND WI ON SAT/D5. THEREAFTER...NO SIGNIFICANT TROUGHS ARE
EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE CONUS EXCEPT FOR THE NWRN STATES BUT
INSTABILITY WILL BE WEAK THERE.

..JEWELL.. 08/23/2016


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