Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary
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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 261138
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE MAY 26 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico are associated with a trough of low
pressure.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system during the next several days, and a
tropical depression is likely to form late this week while
the system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

A nearly-stationary area of low pressure located about 1500 miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is producing
disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms well east of the
circulation center.  Upper-level winds are expected to become less
favorable today and significant development of this system is not
expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown/Roberts



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