Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
935 FNUS73 KAPX 060752 FWSAPX Spot Forecast for Pine River Rx...USFS National Weather Service Gaylord MI 352 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on May 06. If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION...Some wisps of high clouds this morning should give way to sun-filled skies at the burn site today. Efficient warming/mixing this afternoon with high temperatures in the upper 60s and RHs falling to near-critical levels. Calm winds this morning turn east-southeast for the afternoon, generally below 10 mph. Inland penetrating lake breeze off of Lake Huron this afternoon may at least briefly allow RHs to rise a bit. Good RH recovery tonight as temperatures cool back into the 30s. Increasing clouds expected Tuesday with shower/storm chances arriving late Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Max temperature.....Around 67. Min humidity........26 percent. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Transport winds.....East 8 to 9 mph. Mixing height.......1900-3000 ft AGL increasing to 4000-4600 ft AGL in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Ventilation index...Poor (179.0). TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........10 9 6 3 0 0 0 0 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............55 61 63 64 65 66 67 67 RH..............49 39 35 31 32 28 26 26 20 ft wind dir..E E E E E E E E 20 ft wind spd..5 5 7 7 7 8 8 8 20 ft wind gust.6 6 8 8 8 10 10 10 Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 3.0 4.1 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.5 4.0 Haines index....4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Transp wind dir.E NE NE E E E E E Transp wind spd.9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 Vrate kt-ft.....179 275 377 357 365 367 362 325 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent). Areas of frost after 3 am. Min temperature.....Around 34. Max humidity........96 percent. 20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 7 mph early in the evening becoming light. Transport winds.....East 5 to 9 mph. Mixing height.......2500-3500 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1100 ft AGL early in the evening. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Ventilation index...Poor (13.0). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........0 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 4 4 4 Weather cov..... ARS ARS ARS Weather type.... FST FST FST Tstm cov........ Temp............65 62 58 54 50 47 44 42 40 37 35 34 RH..............28 32 39 45 54 60 68 70 76 85 92 96 20 ft wind dir..E E E E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 ft wind spd..8 8 8 5 5 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 20 ft wind gust.12 12 12 8 8 8 2 2 2 3 3 3 Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 Transp wind dir.E SE SE SE SE E E E E E E E Transp wind spd.9 8 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 Vrate kt-ft.....323 200 76 23 18 16 13 14 16 15 16 18 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Areas of frost early in the morning. Max temperature.....Around 67. Min humidity........36 percent. 20-foot winds.......Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Transport winds.....East 7 to 14 mph shifting to the southeast 16 to 18 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......300-1800 ft AGL increasing to 2200-3200 ft AGL late in the morning. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Ventilation index...Poor to fair (23.0-490.0) increasing to fair (407.0) in the afternoon. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........6 11 12 8 27 65 Weather cov.....AREAS Weather type....FROST NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Temp............36 43 56 63 65 65 RH..............92 76 49 39 37 37 20 ft wind dir..E E E SE SE SE 20 ft wind spd..3 3 8 10 10 10 20 ft wind gust.6 6 14 16 16 17 Mix hgt (ft)....300 500 1800 2800 3200 2700 Haines index....4 5 5 5 5 5 Transport wind..E 7 E 8 E 14 SE 17 SE 16 SE 18 Vrate kt-ft.....23 37 244 490 508 478 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR FAIR FAIR FAIR $$ Forecaster...MJG Requested by...Corey Smith Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413231.0/APX .DELDT 05/06/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL corey.smith@usda.gov