Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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FXUS61 KCAR 232323
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
723 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD INTO THE AREA ON THURSDAY THEN SLIDE SOUTH OF THE REGION
FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH ON
SATURDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
7:25 PM UDPATE...THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS NOW APPEARS
OVER ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF OUR AREA. SOME SMALL THUNDERSHOWERS
WILL CONTINUE DOWNEAST THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE, NUMEROUS SHOWERS
WILL CONTINUE DOWNEAST WITH ONLY SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS ELSEWHERE
THIS EVENING.

CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS THE ATMOSPHERE
STABILIZES. HOWEVER SHOWERS WILL LINGER DOWNEAST THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING. BEHIND THE FRONT...WINDS WILL TURN OUT OF THE NORTHWEST
WHICH WILL DRAW COOLER AND DRIER AIR ACROSS MOST OF MAINE
TOMORROW.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN WELL TO OUR NORTH ACROSS EASTERN
CANADA THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE ON THE SURFACE
PUSHES IN FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL BRING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
THURSDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY A MOSTLY SUNNY AND SEASONABLE DAY ON
FRIDAY. FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE TO OUR SOUTH ON SATURDAY WILL BRING A BREEZY DAY WITH A
MOSTLY SUNNY SKY AND SEASONABLE TEMPS. A BIT OF MOISTURE SLIDING
OVER THE TOP OF THE SURFACE HIGH AND INFILTRATING THE REGION MAY
BRING PATCHY CLOUDS LATE IN THE DAY WITH JUST A SMALL CHANCE OF A
STRAY SHOWER IN FAR NORTHWESTERN AREAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
LOADED EXTENDED SUPERBLEND WITHOUT SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. LARGE AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE OVER GREAT LAKES WITH WEAK COLD FRONT TRAILING
SOUTHWEST SLIDES EAST THROUGH SUNDAY AND ESTABLISHES OVER NEW
ENGLAND FROM MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ANTICIPATE GENERALLY CLOUDY
SKIES WITH SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF DIURNAL THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
PERIOD. TEMPS SHOULD REMAIN NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL ACROSS THE FCST AREA
THROUGH THURSDAY. HOWEVER MVFR/IFR CIGS AND VSYBS SHOULD ACCOMPANY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE
TONIGHT. FOG NEAR THE COAST IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY
MORNING AS WELL WITH IFR/LIFR VSBYS AND CIGS.


SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM:A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS THIS
EVENING...CAUSING SOUTHWEST WINDS TO VEER OUT OF THE NORTHEAST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL AFFECT THE AREA THIS
EVENING AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. LOW CLOUDS AND FOG MIGHT THEN
DEVELOP ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT WITH LOW
VSBYS POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS ANS WAVES SHOULD
STAY BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA.

SHORT TERM: WINDS MAY APPROACH 20 KT IN GUSTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST
ON SATURDAY. OTHERWISE, WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
BELOW SCA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...RB/BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...BLOOMER
LONG TERM...BLOOMER
AVIATION...RB/BLOOMER
MARINE...RB/BLOOMER






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