Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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FXUS62 KFFC 201152
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
752 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 354 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014/

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
CHILLY START TO THE PERIOD THIS MORNING WITH SOME OF COOLEST TEMPS
STILL EXPECTED...MANY AREAS LOOKING TO DIP INTO THE LOW 40S. SOME
LOCATIONS MAY GET LOWER WITH OPTIMAL CONDITIONS FOR RADIATIONAL
COOLING LACKING ANY CLOUD COVERAGE...EVEN THE CIRRUS FROM BEFORE.
COULD NOT RULE OUT A FEW SPOTTY AREAS OF FROST IN SOME OF THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF NORTH GA.

MODELS IN DECENT CONSENSUS WITH TIMING OF NEXT SHORTWAVE TROUGH
PUSHING INTO THE NORTH BY 00Z THIS EVENING AND WEAK SFC FRONT
TRAILING BEHIND. SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE MOISTURE STARVED AND LACKING
GOOD LIFT SO HAVE KEPT AREA DRY BUT INCREASE SOME CLOUD COVERAGE IN
THE FAR THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING. NEXT SFC HIGH BUILDS IN FROM
THE NORTH AND ENHANCES THE GRADIENT WINDS FOR TUESDAY. RIDGING AND
DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD LINGER AS THE UPPER TROUGH ENERGY CUTS OFF
NORTHEAST OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES SHOULD MODERATE BACK TO NEAR
NORMAL VALUES TODAY THRU TUES.

BAKER

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

LONG TERM PERIOD BEGINS WITH CLOSED UPPER LOW MOVING OFFSHORE THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST WHILE AT THE SURFACE AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
BRIDGES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WITH INFLUENCE ALL THE WAY SOUTH
THROUGH OUR AREA AND THE GULF COAST. AS STRONG UPPER HIGH BUILDS
OVER THE MID SECTION OF THE COUNTRY...LOCAL AREA WILL REMAIN IN A
DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND GENERALLY WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AT THE
SURFACE. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR POTENTIAL TROPICAL/HYBRID
SYSTEMS LATE IN THE PERIOD BUT FOR NOW WILL REMAIN WITH A DRY
FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.

DEESE

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH PERIOD WITH A FEW SITES POSSIBLY
HAVING BRIEF INITIAL MVFR VSBYS THIS MORNING. POSSIBLE CU FIELD
THIS AFTERNOON BUT THINKING JUST FEW COVERAGE THEN MID LEVEL
MOISTURE WITH NEXT DISTURBANCE LOOKS TO BRING SCT COVERAGE IN 8-12
KFT RANGE TONIGHT. WINDS GENERALLY CALM OR LIGHT SOUTHEAST
INITIALLY THEN SWINGING SW AFTER ABOUT 16Z. EXPECT LIGHT WEST TO
CALM OVERNIGHT THEN INCREASING DURING THE DAY TUESDAY OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST NEAR 7-10 KTS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM ON INITIAL VSBYS.
HIGH ALL ELSE.

BAKER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          71  49  75  45 /   0   0   0   0
ATLANTA         72  54  74  49 /   0   0   0   0
BLAIRSVILLE     66  46  67  38 /   0   0   0   0
CARTERSVILLE    72  46  73  42 /   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS        74  53  78  50 /   0   0   0   0
GAINESVILLE     68  51  71  46 /   0   0   0   0
MACON           75  47  78  46 /   0   0   0   0
ROME            73  47  73  43 /   0   0   0   0
PEACHTREE CITY  72  47  75  43 /   0   0   0   0
VIDALIA         77  54  79  54 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BAKER
LONG TERM...DEESE
AVIATION...BAKER





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