Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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FXUS62 KFFC 311848
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
248 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Wednesday Night/...

Moisture and instability remain a bit limited today. Isolated
convection firing now is a bit more widespread than the past couple
of days...but overall coverage not really any denser than expected.
Not much change to the overall upper-level and surface patterns
through tomorrow night...however as the remains of Bonnie continue
to creep away from the forecast area the models continue to show a
gradual increase in moisture and instability. This supports previous
forecast trend of increased coverage of...mainly diurnal...
convection Wednesday.

20


.LONG TERM /Thursday through Tuesday/...

Extended forecast remains on track with frontal boundary
approaching the state late in the week on Thu with a general
increase in convective activity expected. However...the front
stalls through Friday as upper ridge builds in ahead of next
shortwave. It will not be until Sunday afternoon that this front
actually makes progress toward the forecast area. Timing looks on
target for portions of central Georgia to see max heating Sunday
afternoon prior to line arriving in the afternoon. Will need to
monitor strong to severe potential with subsequent forecasts for
the latter half of the weekend. No other changes to the extended
were made.

Deese


&&


AVIATION...
18Z Update...

VFR conditions are expected to predominate across the majority of
the area through this forecast period. Patchy areas of MVFR...with
some local IFR or lower...visibilities are expected between 06Z and
14Z...however only TAF sites where this may be an issue will be KAHN
and KMCN. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms
expected...mainly between 18Z and 03Z. Light...4kt or less...
northeast winds through 06Z...becoming southeast by 12Z and
southwest by 18Z.

//ATL Confidence...18Z

Medium on wind direction. High on all else.

20

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          68  89  68  90 /  30  30  20  40
Atlanta         72  87  70  89 /  20  30  20  40
Blairsville     61  83  65  84 /  30  30  30  50
Cartersville    66  89  68  89 /  20  30  20  40
Columbus        71  93  71  91 /  20  30  20  30
Gainesville     69  86  69  88 /  20  30  30  40
Macon           69  92  69  92 /  20  30  20  30
Rome            65  90  67  89 /  20  30  20  40
Peachtree City  67  88  68  90 /  20  30  20  30
Vidalia         72  92  71  92 /  20  30  20  30

&&


.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....Deese
AVIATION...20


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