Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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FXUS62 KFFC 071059
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
659 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 355 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... HIGH PRESSURE AND
DRIER AIRMASS OVER THE REGION SHOULD KEEP THINGS MOST DRY TODAY.
EVEN THOUGH THE AIRMASS IS DRIER THAN IT HAS BEEN IT IS NOT
COMPLETELY DRY SO KEEPING A 20 POP ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
SHOULD SEE SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON WITH A THUNDERSTORMS
OR TWO. THIS DRIER AIRMASS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY SO
KEEPING POPS LOW THROUGH WED EVENING. WITH THIS HIGH PRESSURE OVER
THE REGION TEMPS WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN SEASONAL NORMS. EXPECT
TEMPS TO RANGE FROM NEAR 80 IN THE MOUNTAINS TO MID 90S ACROSS
CENTRAL GA. THROUGH THE SHORT TERM.

01

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...

NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE THINKING FOR THE LONG TERM AS IT
CLOSELY RESEMBLES A PATTERN WE WERE IN SEVERAL WEEKS AGO. THIS WAS
CHARACTERIZED BY BUILDING MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUT
SIGNIFICANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRAPPED WITHIN THIS RIDGE. AS SUCH
WOULD EXPECT REDUCED COVERAGE OF STORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD BUT
CANNOT COMPLETELY REMOVE POPS ON ANY ONE DAY GIVEN PLENTIFUL
MOISTURE. WILL NEED TO WATCH LATE IN THE PERIOD AS UPPER RIDGE
SHIFTS WEST ENOUGH TO ALLOW LOCAL AREA TO GET INTO NW FLOW...A
FAVORABLE PATTERN FOR LATE NIGHT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

AS ANTICIPATED...MODEL GUIDANCE IS RAMPING UP MAX TEMPS WITH EACH
RUN AS RIDGE TAKES HOLD OVER THE AREA. HAVE GONE EVEN A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE THIS GUIDANCE AS WELL WITH MID 90S LIKELY OVER MOST
OF THE AREA WITH HEAT INDICES TO APPROACH 100.

DEESE

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z UPDATE...
NO CHANGES PLANNED FROM 06Z TAFS. VFR CONDITIONS STILL EXPECTED WITH
WINDS OUT OF THE WEST IN THE 5 TO 10KT RANGE THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD. PRECIPITATION WILL BE ISOLATED ENOUGH TO LEAVE THE
MENTIONS OF IT OUT OF THE TAFS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL ELEMENTS.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          93  72  94  72 /  20  10  20  20
ATLANTA         90  74  91  74 /  20  10  10  10
BLAIRSVILLE     85  66  86  66 /  20  10  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    91  70  91  70 /  20  10  10  10
COLUMBUS        92  73  94  73 /  20  10  10  10
GAINESVILLE     89  72  90  72 /  20  10  20  20
MACON           94  72  95  72 /  20  10  20  20
ROME            91  71  92  70 /  20  10  20  10
PEACHTREE CITY  91  71  92  71 /  20  10  10  10
VIDALIA         93  73  94  73 /  20  10  20  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....DEESE
AVIATION...01



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