Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 271912
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
212 PM CDT WED AUG 27 2014

.DISCUSSION...
DUE TO A WEAK SURFACE LOW IN THE GULF...CHANCES OF RAIN WILL
CONTINUE ON FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. MAIN AREAS OF RAIN CHANCES
ARE ALONG THE COAST AND RAIN CHANCES INLAND INCREASE THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY AS MOISTURE LEVELS DEEPEN. STILL THINK NORTHERN COUNTIES
WILL HAVE LESS CHANCE OF RAIN THAN CENTRAL AND COASTAL
COUNTIES. WHERE IT DOES RAIN... 1 TO 2 INCHES IS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION IF TRAINING SET UPS. WITH THE INCREASED CLOUD COVERAGE
AND EXPECTED RAIN... TEMPS WILL NOT FEEL AS HOT AS LAST WEEK.
TOWARD THE END OF THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND AND INTO LABOR DAY...WEAK
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BEGINS TO BUILD IN ACROSS THE AREA WHICH
SHOULD BRING LOWER RAIN CHANCES AND HIGHER TEMPS. ALTHOUGH WE`RE
EXPECTING IT TO WARM UP NEXT WEEK...TEMPS WONT GET CLOSE TO
RECORD HIGHS. WE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE GULF FOR ANY TROPICAL
DEVELOPMENT. 42/99

&&

.MARINE...
MODERATE EAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY BEFORE VEERING TO
THE SOUTHEAST TOMORROW. MODERATE EAST WINDS HAVE ALSO ALLOWED TIDES
TO RISE TODAY. TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TODAY WILL BE
POSSIBLE. HAVE ALSO ISSUED A SCEC FOR ALL OFFSHORE WATERS TODAY AS
BUOYS 19 AND 35 HAVE CONTINUED TO REPORT WINDS IN THE 15 TO 20 KT
RANGE. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY EAST OF THE ANTILLES WILL
THEN PUSH WEST AND MOVE INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE MONDAY. THIS WILL
ALLOW FOR SLIGHTLY ELEVATED WINDS AND SEAS. 23


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1206 PM CDT WED AUG 27 2014/

DISCUSSION...
SEE AVIATION FOR 18Z TAF ISSUANCE.

AVIATION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN CONFINED TO THE COAST THIS
AFTERNOON AS A BROAD CENTER OF LOW PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE GULF
OF MEXICO. HIGH RES MODELS AGREE ON THE RAIN STAYING CONFINED TO
THE COAST FOR THE MOST PART TODAY. RAIN SHOULD SPREAD FARTHER
INLAND TOMORROW AS THE LOW BEGINS TO LOOSE COHESION. 23

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      75  95  75  94  76 /  10  30  20  50  30
HOUSTON (IAH)              76  92  77  91  76 /  30  50  30  50  40
GALVESTON (GLS)            80  89  81  88  81 /  40  50  30  50  50

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS
     FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH
     ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...42
AVIATION/MARINE...23


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