Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, MS

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FXUS64 KJAN 281607 AAA
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1007 AM CST FRI NOV 28 2014

.UPDATE...
NO CHANGES TO FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
HARD TO IMAGINE A MORE QUIET LATE FALL DAY. COMPLETELY CLEAR SKIES
AND LIGHT S/SW WINDS AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY PULLS EAST OF
AREA. TEMPS LOOK GOOD WITH MAXES A BIT BELOW CLIMO.        /AEG/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 AM CST FRI NOV 28 2014/

DISCUSSION...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...TODAY WILL BE A DAY OF
TRANSITION AS HIGH PRESSURE POSITIONS ITSELF EAST OF THE REGION
THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY...WHILE OUR UPPER LEVEL FLOW BEGINS TO
BECOME MORE ZONAL HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND.  SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION DURING THIS TIME...RESULTING IN WARMING
CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THIS WILL ALSO BRING AN INCREASE
IN CLOUD COVER OVER THE FORECAST AREA FROM WEST TO EAST BEGINNING
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

HIGHS TODAY UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 50S
NORTH TO THE MID 60S SOUTH.  AGAIN...CLOUDS WILL INCREASE FROM WEST
TO EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AS LOWS RANGE FROM THE MID 30S OVER
EAST MISSISSIPPI TO AROUND 50 WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.  THEN
ON SATURDAY...HIGHS WILL PEAK FROM THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S...WITH
LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT RANGING FROM THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S. /19/

SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY...MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS
THE REGION UNDER LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW. PWATS WILL INCREASE FROM
0.6 TO AROUND 1.3 BY MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION
ON MONDAY. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE CONVERGENCE TO BRING SOME LIGHT
SHOWERS TO THE REGION FOR MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THE FRONT WILL
PUSH TO SOUTH OF THE REGION BY MONDAY NIGHT. THERE MAY BE JUST
ENOUGH LIMITED INSTABILITY FOR A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER FOR MONDAY BUT NOT
ENOUGH TO MENTION IN THE GRIDS OR ZONES. THE RAIN WILL CLEAR OUT OF
THE REGION BY TUESDAY EVENING. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE
REGION ON WEDNESDAY. THE EURO TRIES TO BRING SOME LIGHT RAIN FOR
WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH IT WHILE THE GFS SEEMS TO BE
GENERALLY DRY. LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN TO THE REGION ON
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. ANOTHER FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION ON
FRIDAY BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE REGION...WHICH IS
AGREED BY THE GFS AND EURO. /17/

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH MUCH OF THE
PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE SOUTHERLY TODAY BETWEEN 5-10 KNOTS AND REMAIN
SO THROUGH THE PERIOD. INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OVERNIGHT COULD
BRING SOME LOW CLOUDS INTO THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING...PERHAPS RESULTING IN SOME MVFR CEILINGS AROUND DAY
BREAK WEST OF INTERSTATE 55. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       58  42  68  52 /   0   0   4   6
MERIDIAN      56  35  68  49 /   0   0   2   6
VICKSBURG     60  43  70  52 /   0   0   5   6
HATTIESBURG   59  41  70  53 /   0   0   2   5
NATCHEZ       61  48  71  56 /   0   0   3   6
GREENVILLE    56  44  69  55 /   0   0   8   7
GREENWOOD     57  41  67  55 /   0   0   7   7

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AEG




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