Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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000
FXUS64 KLIX 281745
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1245 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2015

.AVIATION...

...18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

NO SIGNIFICANT AVIATION IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED AT THE TERMINALS
THROUGH 06Z. THERE WILL BE SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION DEVELOPING
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...BUT GIVEN THE LOW THREAT HAVE OPTED
TO NOT MENTION IN THE FORECAST. IF A THUNDERSTORM THREATENS A
TERMINAL...AN AMENDMENT WILL BE MADE TO REFLECT THE POSSIBILITY OF
GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 20 KNOTS AND A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR
VISIBILITY AND CEILING RESTRICTIONS. ANY CONVECTIVE IMPACTS SHOULD
LAST LESS THAN 30 MINUTES. LATER TONIGHT...AN ELEVATED INVERSION
SHOULD REDEVELOP OVER THE REGION. THIS INVERSION WILL BE STRONGEST
AWAY FROM THE COAST...AND IMPACT KMCB THE GREATEST. EXPECT TO SEE
IFR CEILINGS OF LESS THAN 1000 FEET DEVELOP BY 08Z...AND A FURTHER
LOWERING OF THE DECK TO AROUND 300-500 FEET BY 11Z. THESE LOW
CEILINGS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 14Z BEFORE LIFTING AS THE INVERSION
MIXES OUT. WITH THE STRATUS BUILD DOWN OCCURRING...SOME PATCHY FOG
COULD ALSO DEVELOP...AND HAVE VISIBILITIES FALLING TO 3 MILES FOR
A BRIEF PERIOD AROUND DAYBREAK AT KMCB. AT KBTR...KHDC...AND KASD
SOME LIGHT FOG COULD FORM BETWEEN 11Z AND 13Z...RESULTING IN MVFR
RESTRICTIONS OF 3 TO 5 MILES. AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER MIXES
OUT...THIS FOG WILL QUICKLY CLEAR BY 14Z.  32

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  69  86  68  86 /  20  40  30  40
BTR  71  87  70  87 /  20  40  30  40
ASD  72  86  70  86 /  20  30  10  30
MSY  74  86  73  86 /  20  30  20  30
GPT  74  85  73  85 /  20  30  10  20
PQL  71  85  70  85 /  20  20  10  20

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

32


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