Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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FXUS64 KLIX 260837
AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
337 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

.SHORT TERM...
Will remain very tough to get sh/ts into the area as the strong
ridging will continue along the gulf coast westward to about
Baton Rouge. Some activity will move into the western periphery of
the ridge giving at least a chance of sh/ts over the extreme
western portion of the area. This will be the case for the next
few if not several days. It is possible to see a few sh/ts develop
over the weekend where the ridge softens just a bit but nothing
widespread.

.LONG TERM...
A hint of a very weak trough developing by the start of the new
work week may give a slightly better chance of getting some ts
around the area. This occurs at the same time the tropical system
moves ashore the east coast. The system gets cut off for a few
days as a deeper upper trough develops and digs southward. This
will help bring an even better chance of sh/ts to the area by the
mid to end of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR to MVFR conditions are expected overnight with the main issue
being lowering ceilings across the area. Fog should not be a huge
concern and have opted to leave mention of any significant fog out
of the forecast. The best chance of seeing any fog overnight will be
at KMCB.

&&

.MARINE...

High pressure will continue to dominate the flow over the coastal
waters through the rest of the week. Winds will be mostly southeast
10 to 15 knots through the weekend with seas generally two to
three feet.

.DECISION SUPPORT...

DSS code: Green.
Deployed: None.
Activation: None.
Activities: None.

Decision Support Services (DSS) Code Legend
Green  = No weather impacts that require action.
Blue   = Long-fused watch, warning, or advisory in effect or
         high visibility event.
Yellow = Heightened impacts with short-fused watch, warning
         or advisory issuances; radar support.
Orange = High Impacts; Slight to Moderate risk severe; nearby
         tropical events; HazMat or other large episodes.
Red    = Full engagement for Moderate risk of severe and/or
         direct tropical threats; Events of National Significance.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  88  71  85  68 /  20  20  10  10
BTR  88  72  86  70 /  30  20  20  10
ASD  85  71  85  71 /  10  10  10  10
MSY  85  74  86  73 /  20  10  10  10
GPT  84  73  84  72 /  10   0  10   0
PQL  84  71  84  69 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.LIX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$


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