Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 281118
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
318 AM PST SAT FEB 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS
TO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA TODAY. SNOW WILL BE CONFINED TO
CENTRAL NEVADA ON SUNDAY AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES SOUTH.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. UPPER TROUGH WILL SETTLE
ACROSS THE REGION TODAY BRINGING NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS TO NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NV. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A SNOW BAND SETTING UP
ACROSS CENTRAL NV THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING. GENERALLY EXPECTING 2 TO 4 INCHES IN THE VALLEYS AND 4 TO
8 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS UNDER THIS SNOW BAND. THEREFORE HAVE
ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY THROUGH 10 AM
SUNDAY FOR CENTRAL NV. ACROSS THE NORTH SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS
WILL GENERALLY BE LESS THAN 1 INCH. SNOW SHOWERS WILL END ACROSS
THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AS THE UPPER TROUGH SINKS FURTHER
SOUTH. SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS CENTRAL NV THROUGH MONDAY
BUT ONLY EXPECTING LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
ONWARD. ON MONDAY ANOTHER WEAK SHORT WAVE WILL DROP SOUTH INTO
NORTHERN NV BRINGING SOME LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY. SNOW SHOWERS
DIMINISHING FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
WITH MAIN FOCUS ON LINGERING SNOW OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL
NEVADA. AS THE TROUGH OVER NEVADA EXITS TO THE SOUTHEAST EARLY NEXT
WEEK A RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO SET UP ALONG THE WEST COAST. THE DRIER
NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL RESULT IN FEWER CLOUDS AND COLDER AIR
MOVING IN TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. ON WEDNESDAY THE WEST COAST
RIDGE BEGINS TO DRIFT EAST TOWARD NEVADA BRINGING AFTERNOON HIGH
TEMPERATURES BACK TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS OVER THE GREAT BASIN.
RIDGING CONTINUES INTO THURSDAY WITH HIGHS RISING BACK INTO THE
UPPER 40S AND 50S...OR AROUND 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. MORE
WARMING ON FRIDAY BEFORE THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN NEXT
WEEKEND.
&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NEVADA EARLY THIS MORNING. ALSO EXPECT SOME PATCHY
FREEZING FOG ACROSS VALLEYS INTO THE MID-MORNING HOURS TODAY...AFTER-
WHICH WINDS WILL INCREASE AND SCOUR OUT FOG.

SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE OVER MUCH OF THE REGION LATER
THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HEAVIEST ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED OVER
CENTRAL NEVADA...WHICH WILL LINGER INTO THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
AT OR NEAR KTPH AND KELY WITH PERIODS OF IFR AND LIFR CONDITIONS
LIKELY. ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA AND IN PARTICULAR AT KWMC AND
KEKO...SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING...WITH FOG POSSIBLE AGAIN TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING.
&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 AM PST SUNDAY FOR
NORTHEASTERN NYE COUNTY-NORTHWESTERN NYE COUNTY-SOUTHERN LANDER
COUNTY AND SOUTHERN EUREKA COUNTY-WHITE PINE COUNTY.
&&

$$

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