Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 242048 AAA
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Elko NV
148 PM PDT Sun Sep 24 2017

.SYNOPSIS...Very light showers exiting the eastern borders into
Utah late this afternoon, with a few clouds over the northeast
quarter of Nevada into tonight. Dry tonight through next week
with gradually warming temperatures as high pressure slowly
builds in from the west.


&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Tuesday. Low pressure over the
Rockies will move east and a ridge will build strongly into the
western U.S. The trajectory remains northerly so warming trend
will be a bit slow and steady, while drying will be strong. It
will feel a bit like an early Indian summer after the late summer
snows.

.LONG TERM...Tuesday night through next Sunday

Ridging building in at the start of the long term as a weak trof
develops in the Tri State area. The low then moves into the
vicinity of the four corners region through Thursday night before
it washes out as the upper high continues to build into the
western conus. The low is not expected to bring any precipitation
to our area as the moisture that gets pulled up should stay in
the 4 corners region. What this low mainly does for us is prevents
heights from rapidly rising, which provides for a slow warming
trend.

By Friday, the ridge is expected to flatten due to activity in
Canada, which should place our area in more of a zonal flow.
Global models then begin to build a stronger ridge into the
eastern Pacific by Saturday, which will return us to more of a
northerly flow.

Temperatures a little below normal Wednesday will warm to more
seasonable norms into the 70`s for most valleys on Thursday and
through the weekend (Northwest areas such as Winnemucca will be
around 80). Lows mainly in the mid 30`s to the lower 40`s.



&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions expected through Monday evening.



&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Slow warming, rapid drying through the week. Winds
on the lighter side as strong upper ridge builds into the Great
Basin.


&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

98/90/90/98


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