Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KLZK 030250 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
945 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT/MONDAY. THERE WILL BE SOME HIGH
CLOUDS TONIGHT...AND SCATTERED CUMULUS CLOUDS ON MONDAY AT 5000 TO
6000 FEET. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT. WINDS
ON MONDAY WILL VARY FROM SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH. (46)

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT

TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BEGIN TO MAKE AN APPEARANCE
ONCE AGAIN HEADING INTO THE WORK WEEK AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
MOVE TO THE EAST...ALLOWING SOUTHERLY WINDS TO BRING GULF MOISTURE
INTO THE REGION. MEANWHILE...THE SEEMINGLY EVER PRESENT UPPER
LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL RETREAT BACK TOWARDS THE WESTERN
HALF OF THE CONUS.

DRY AND WARMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED MONDAY...WITH SOME SLIGHT
CHANCES FOR ISOLATED CONVECTION ON TUESDAY. SOMEWHAT BETTER
CHANCES WILL RETURN FOR TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT DRIVES AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE ACROSS MISSOURI AND
NORTHERN AR. THE BEST CHANCES FOR RAINFALL WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE
NORTHERN THIRD TO HALF OF THE STATE...WITH LESSER CHANCES FARTHER
SOUTH.

AS FAR AS TEMPERATURES...HIGHS WILL WARM BACK INTO THE 90S FOR
MOST OF THE STATE...WITH SOME SOUTHERN LOCATIONS FLIRTING WITH THE
CENTURY MARK. LOWS WILL ALSO WARM THROUGH MID WEEK BACK INTO 70S.
ALTHOUGH MOISTURE LEVELS...AND THEREFORE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL
INCREASE...INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND PRECIP CHANCES SHOULD KEEP
HEAT INDEX VALUES BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.

&&

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL HAVE CHANCES OF RAIN EACH DAY OVER MUCH
OF AR...WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND TO A BIT BELOW NORMAL VALUES. THE
UPPER PATTERN WILL HAVE THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE
SOUTHWEST U.S...WITH A BROAD UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S. THIS
WILL SET UP AN UPPER NW FLOW...AND SHORT WAVE ENERGY IS FORECAST TO
MOVE THROUGH THE PATTERN AND EFFECT AR WITH CHANCES OF CONVECTION
EACH DAY. A SOUTH WIND FLOW WILL ALSO HELP INCREASE MOISTURE LEVELS
ACROSS THE REGION. THE HIGHEST CHANCES WILL BE OVER THE NORTHERN
HALF OF THE STATE...CLOSER TO THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY...WHILE LOWER
OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF. OVER THE WEEKEND...RAIN CHANCES DO LOWER A
BIT AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SAGS THROUGH THE STATE AND PUSHES THE
CHANCE OF RAIN TO SW AR. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 80S
AND 90S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     71  96  73  96 /   0   0   0  10
CAMDEN AR         69 100  73  98 /   0   0   0  10
HARRISON AR       68  94  71  91 /  10   0   0  20
HOT SPRINGS AR    69  99  73  96 /   0   0   0  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  72  98  75  98 /   0   0   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     72  99  74  97 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNT IDA AR      67  99  71  96 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  69  94  71  93 /  10   0   0  20
NEWPORT AR        71  96  73  96 /   0   0   0  10
PINE BLUFF AR     71  99  73  98 /   0   0   0  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   69  97  72  97 /  10   0   0  10
SEARCY AR         70  97  73  97 /   0   0   0  10
STUTTGART AR      71  97  74  97 /   0   0   0  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...224 / LONG TERM...59


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.