Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 291324
AFDMLB

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
924 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

.DISCUSSION...
REST OF TODAY...A BROADLY DEFINED RIDGE IN PLACE OVER N FL AND NWD
WL KEEP THE REGION IN A MODEST RETURN FLOW REGIME INTO THE WEEKEND.
THE LTST SOUNDING FROM XMR SHOWS A 24H INCREASE IN THE DEPTH OF
MOISTURE ALONG WITH PWAT VALUES TO JUST OVER TWO INCHES. THE ONLY
INHIBITING FACTOR PRECLUDING MENTION OF HIGHER COVERAGE IS A THERMAL
(PARTIAL) CAP REMAINS IN THE FORM OF WARMER THAN DESIRED H5 TEMPS OF
-5 TO -6. A LACK OF EARLY CLOUD COVER ALONG WITH DLM WINDS OUT OF
THE SW WL ASSIST IN DEVELOPMENT AND STEERING TOWARD THE EAST
PENINSULA OF SCT AFTN SHOWERS AND STORMS ONCE HEATING AND BOUNDARY
DEVELOPMENT COMMENCES. THE CURRENT FORECAST REMAINS IN GOOD SHAPE
ATTM.

HIGHS WL RANGE FROM THE LOW 90S ALONG THE COAST UP TO MID 90S
INLAND.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR AREA WIDE THROUGH 29/18Z. ISOLATED STORMS AWAY FROM THE COAST
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON THEN SPREADING INLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPO MVFR WITH SHRA/ISOLD TS VCNTY DAB-SFB-LEE-MCO MNLY 20Z-24Z.

&&

.MARINE...
STEADY DECAY IN SWELL AT OB SITES WITH AN 8-9 SEC 2-3 FT SIG WV
COMPOSED OF SOME WIND WAVE AND PRIMARILY SWELL. WITH THE SURFACE
RIDGE NEARBY AN ONSHORE WIND NR 10 KNOTS AND 2 TO 3 FOOT SEAS JUST
OFF THE COAST AND 3 FT SEAS OVER THE OUTER WATERS CAN BE EXPECTED.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

JP/PB




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