Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 210249 AAA
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1045 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...

CONSIDERABLE HIGH CLOUDS WILL STREAM EAST ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT.
THIS SHOULD LIMIT SIGNIFICANT FOG FORMATION. SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER
SOUTH FL WILL DRIFT NORTHWARD IN DEVELOPING SOUTHERLY FLOW. HAVE
ADDED A SMALL SHOWER CHANCE FOR MARTIN COUNTY TOWARD MORNING.

ON TUE...WEAK SW-WRLY SFC WINDS AHEAD OF THE NEXT WEAK COOL FRONT.
INFLUX OF HIGHER PWAT AIR INTO THE SRN COUNTIES COULD TOUCH OF A FEW
SHOWERS OR STORMS THERE...HOWEVER MID-UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS AND
MOISTURE WILL ALSO BEGIN TO STREAM ENE FROM DISTURBANCE IN THE BAY
OF CAMPECHE ACROSS THE SRN THIRD OF FL...WHICH WILL ACT TO LIMIT SFC
HEATING SOME. PREMISE OF THE FCST REMAINS UNCHANGED...WITH A SLIGHT
CHC FOR DIURNAL CONVECTION NEAR/SOUTH OF MLB-LAKE KISSIMMEE. MAY
NEED TO INCREASE POPS SLIGHTLY ACROSS THE FAR SOUTH (OKEECHOBEE TO
THE TREASURE COAST).

OVERNIGHT MIN TEMPS IN THE UPPER 60S WITH MAXES GENERALLY IN THE
M80S..AND MAYBE A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER ACROSS THE SOUTH OWING TO
THE INCREASING CLOUD COVER.

&&

.AVIATION...
MAINLY VFR. PATCHY MIFG/BR PSBL ONCE AGAIN 08Z-12Z. ISOLD SHRA MAY
LIFT NORTHWARD FROM SOUTH FLORIDA AND AFFECT SUA TOWARDS MORNING. TS
PSBL KMLB-KSUA TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SE-S WINDS BLO 10KT THIS EVENING WILL VEER TO SWRLY OVERNIGHT/EARLY
TUE...AND SW-W LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COOL
FRONT. SEAS DROPPING BACK TO 2-3FT AS REMNANT SWELL CONTINUES TO
DECAY.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  67  85  63  81 /  10  10  10  10
MCO  67  86  65  84 /   0  10  10  10
MLB  69  84  67  83 /  10  20  20  20
VRB  68  84  67  84 /  10  20  30  30
LEE  67  86  64  84 /   0  10  10  10
SFB  67  86  65  84 /   0  10  10  10
ORL  69  86  67  84 /   0  10  10  10
FPR  66  84  66  83 /  10  20  40  30

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

$$

KELLY/WEITLICH






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